ilmscore | US Fiscal Policy Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 9
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 7
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Jerome Powell predicts the US federal budget deficit is on an unsustainable path, though the current debt level is sustainable.
"The US federal budget deficit is, you know, uncontroversially on an unsustainable path. The level of..."
Jan 28, 2026
Pending
Significant tax cuts for corporations and consumers are predicted, leading to increased consumer spending and corporate earnings in 2026.
"there's going to be a lot of tax cuts to corporates as well as consumers that would create more cons..."
Dec 31, 2025
Pending
Printing money as a solution to the US debt crisis will lead to increased inflation, wealth inequality, and a long-term erosion of trust in the US dollar.
"if they go down this path, printing money is just going to lead to more inflation, more wealth inequ..."
Dec 8, 2025
Correct
Printing money is predicted to be the most likely, easiest, fastest, and politically least painful solution for the US debt crisis.
"print money, but honestly, this is looking like it's going to be the most likely case. It's the easi..."
Dec 8, 2025
Correct
The US government's deficit is predicted not to prevent them from issuing future 'helicopter airdrop money' (stimulus checks).
"Why do you think that a deficit is going to stop them from sending out helicopter airdrop money? It ..."
Nov 10, 2025
Pending
The author predicts that Trump's promises to pay off the national debt and abolish federal income tax will never be fulfilled.
"But again, it sounds like a fairy tale because we all know it's never going to happen."
Oct 3, 2025
Pending
Two more large government spending bills are expected.
"They have two more. We have two more spending bills coming."
Jul 29, 2025
Pending
The 'big beautiful bill' proposes a $4 trillion increase to the debt ceiling, projecting the US national debt to reach approximately $40 trillion.
"This big beautiful bill is proposing to raise the debt ceiling by a further $4 trillion which will t..."
Jun 9, 2025
Pending
The US is very likely to enter a fiscal dominance situation where the Federal Reserve will be forced to cut interest rates to maintain budget stability, even if inflation persists.
"So I think what would be the most interesting is if the US goes into a fiscal dominance situation wh..."
May 5, 2025
Pending