ilmscore | US Jobs Market Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 16
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 6
Pending: 8
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Zero net job growth in May and June 2025 signals a concerning economic outlook.
"But when you combine all of that with the May and June job numbers, which show essentially zero net ..."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
President Trump fired the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics due to concerns about job number accuracy.
"That's also why President Trump fired the person in charge of the Bureau of Labor Statistics."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
A claimed motive for alleged job number manipulation was to make the Democratic party appear economically strong.
"Because maybe they wanted the Democratic party to look strong in the economy and win."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
The July 2025 jobs report showed only 73,000 jobs added, significantly below expectations and the lowest monthly figure since the pandemic.
"The July jobs report, which is the most recent one we have on file, and it came in at only 73,000 jo..."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
Donald Trump claims that BLS job numbers were intentionally manipulated, citing overstatements of 818,000 jobs in March 2024 and 112,000 jobs in August/September 2024.
"President Trump posted this on Truth Social. and he says that the jobs numbers were manipulated on p..."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
Initial job reports are based on estimates and are often revised lower as actual employer data is collected.
"So, the story that they're sticking to is the first numbers were based on just early guesstimates of..."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
Spike in unemployment precedes or coincides with recessions.
"And what do you notice right before or during every single one of them? There's a spike in unemploym..."
Aug 4, 2025
Correct
A loss of over 250,000 jobs in two months raises concerns about a potential existing recession and the Fed's interest rate decisions.
"Now, if these two months lost us over a quarter million jobs, it makes people wonder, maybe we're al..."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) routinely revises job numbers as more complete data becomes available.
"According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, these revisions were just part of the normal process. E..."
Aug 4, 2025
Pending
Approximately 89% of job gains were lost in May and June 2025.
"So, there's a lot of really interesting theories here, but what seems to be true is that we lost aro..."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
Deterioration in the job market and rising unemployment are precursors to recession.
"The job market starts to break, unemployment starts to go up, and then all of a sudden we find ourse..."
Aug 4, 2025
Incorrect
336,000 new jobs were added in the US, nearly double the expected number.
"336,000 new jobs were added in America which is almost double what was expected"
Oct 10, 2023
Pending
The latest US jobs report showed hiring significantly exceeding expectations.
"in our latest jobs report we hired way more people in America than what was expected"
Oct 10, 2023
Pending
Up to 5.3 million jobs could be lost if the Federal Reserve reaches its target inflation rate of 2%.
"as many as 5.3 million jobs could disappear"
Oct 14, 2022
Pending
Based on the predicted unemployment rate increase to 4.4% in 2023, approximately 1 million jobs could be lost.
"that means almost 1 million jobs will actually disappear"
Oct 14, 2022
Pending
Bank of America estimates the unemployment rate will be between 5% and 5.5%, potentially leading to the loss of 2.6 million jobs.
"unemployment will be between five and five and a half percent that's their estimate which means as m..."
Oct 14, 2022
Pending