ilmscore | The Jobs Report Shows a Labor Market in Big Trouble

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 3
Prediction
Topic
Status
The reported US job numbers for October and November 2025 are likely to be revised downward significantly, potentially by as much as 60,000 jobs per month, according to Jerome Powell.
"Most likely they're going to be revised downward and most likely heavily. As a matter of fact, even Jerome Powell, who's the chair of the Federal Reserve, recently said that most likely these job figures are being drastically overstated. Powell said that he suspects that the job numbers are overstated by as much as 60,000 jobs per month."
US Labor Market Revisions
Correct
Inflation is predicted to sharply accelerate in 2026 due to the Federal Reserve reactivating money printing.
"However, the thing is that I expect the rate of inflation to sharply accelerate in 2026. Because you have to remember that the Federal Reserve has turned the money printers back on as of last Friday."
Inflation Acceleration
Pending
The money supply is growing at an annualized rate of approximately 5%, but is expected to approach 6% due to the Federal Reserve reactivating money printing and Q4 interest rate cuts.
"So, the money supply has been growing at an annualized rate of approximately 5% recently. But now, I mean, we have the situation where the money printers are turned back on and interest rate cuts have been happening in Q4 and there's going to be more money loaned into existence and we're going to be closer to 6% as of right now."
Money Supply Growth
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve's Summary of Economic Projections forecasts only one interest rate cut of 0.25% in 2026.
"at the last Federal Reserve meeting, they released their projections in their SEP. their summary of economic projections and they forecasted that they're only going to cut interest rates one time next year in 2026 by just 0.25%."
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Projections
Pending
The new Federal Reserve chair, taking office in May 2026, is expected to implement more than the projected single 0.25% interest rate cut for the year.
"But then again, as I mentioned in my previous video, the new Fed chair comes into power in May of 2026 and most likely they're going to cut interest rates by more than just 0.25% for the entirety of 2026."
New Fed Chair Impact on Rate Cuts
Pending