Inflation Cools to 2.7% — Even With Money Printers Back On
Published: 2025-12-19
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-12-19
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 5
Prediction
Topic
Status
Jay Powell expects inflation elevated by tariffs in 2025 to improve in 2026.
"Powell says the tariff inflation is most likely to be, and I quote, a one-time price increase. So in other words, Paul is saying that the rate of inflation has been elevated in 2025 by tariffs, but he expects things to get better in 2026."
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve anticipates inflation to cool and not be a problem in the coming months and going forward.
"Another thing is that the Federal Reserve is saying that they're confident that inflation is going to cool in the upcoming months and they're saying that inflation should not be a problem going forward."
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve projects only one interest rate cut of 0.25% in 2026.
"the Federal Reserve gave their projections and they projected that they're only going to cut interest rates one time in all of 2026. and just by 0.25%."
Pending
Donald Trump will nominate a new Federal Reserve chair in the coming weeks, who will replace J. Powell in May 2026 and advocate for significantly lower interest rates.
"J. Powell is going to be out of there in May of 2026. And Trump says that he's going to nominate the new Fed chair who's going to be Powell's replacements in the next few weeks. And that new Fed chair is going to be someone that believes in much lower interest rates."
Pending
Christopher Waller believes interest rates should be lowered by 1%.
"Christopher Waller, who's already a Federal Reserve governor, and he's saying that interest rates should be lower by a full 1%."
Incorrect
If Christopher Waller's proposed 1% interest rate cut is implemented, rates would fall to 2.75%.
"And that means that he would want to take it down to 2.75%."
Incorrect
Kevin Hassett is predicted to lower interest rates more significantly than Christopher Waller.
"Hasset would be the candidate that would lower interest rates the most much more than Waller."
Pending
Kevin Warsh has been inactive in the Federal Reserve for over a decade.
"However, I'll tell you that I don't know about Worsh because although he's been a part of the Federal Reserve in the past, he's kind of been doing nothing for the past 10 plus years."
Correct
The next Federal Reserve chair nominee is expected to implement substantial interest rate reductions, exceeding Powell's planned cuts.
"However, it's going to be someone that lowers interest rates substantially, much more than Powell wants."
Pending
The speaker predicts that the actions taken in 2026 regarding interest rates will exacerbate the inflation problem.
"And in my opinion, it's going to make the inflation situation worse. So, I'm just saying get ready for that in 2026."
Pending
The speaker believes the US government understates inflation figures to reduce payments for cost-of-living adjustments.
"It is my belief that the US government understates the rate of inflation to essentially underpay people that rely on the cost of living adjustments."
Pending
The government's understatement of inflation saves costs on Social Security cost-of-living adjustments for 70 million recipients.
"So, for example, like the 70 million Americans that receive Social Security benefits, I just want you to think about it. Like, could you imagine how expensive it would be for the government to pay the correct amount for cost of living adjustments to 70 million Social Security recipients, like a 6% or 8% or 10% raise each year."
Pending
The government reports a 2.7% inflation rate to justify a 2.7% pay raise for Social Security recipients.
"So, what does the government do? They say that the rate of inflation is at 2.7% so they only have to give a 2.7% pay raise."
Incorrect