Will Bitcoin Crash in 2025? Key Risks You Need to Know
Published: 2025-01-08
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-01-08
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Bitcoin Act of 2024 proposes the US government to acquire 1 million BTC over 5 years to create a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR).
"the Bitcoin act 2024 introduced by Senator Cynthia lumus during Trump's campaign outlines a plan for the US to buy 1 million BTC over 5 years to establish a strategic Bitcoin Reserve or SBR"
Pending
Mike Novogratz is skeptical about the approval of a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
"Mike Novogratz pointed out while sharing his skepticism of a reserve being approved"
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Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that the US Central Bank cannot legally own Bitcoin.
"Federal Reserve chairman Jerome pal has said the the US Central Bank can't legally own BTC dismissing the idea entirely"
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Crypto analyst Nick believes a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is unlikely and a bad idea.
"according to respected crypto analyst Nick an SBR not only is unlik but it's also a really bad idea"
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China might sell its Bitcoin holdings as a retaliatory measure against potential US tariffs proposed by Trump.
"China could sell its BTC in response to Trump's proposed International policies such as higher US tariffs on Chinese Goods"
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There are suggestions that China could intentionally devalue the Yuan and sell its Bitcoin holdings to negatively impact Bitcoin's price.
"some reports even suggest China might deliberately weaken the Yuan to offset the impact of US tariffs but how does this relate to bitcoin well put simply China could offload its massive BTC stash to deliberately crash the price"
Pending
The UK might sell some of its Bitcoin reserves if US-UK tensions escalate.
"if tensions rise between the UK and the US the UK might consider liquidating some of those Holdings"
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Ukraine may be forced to sell its Bitcoin holdings to fund civilian support, economic stabilization, or its conflict with Russia.
"Ukraine also presents a potential risk albe it for different reasons as the next largest International holder with over 46,000 BTC it might be forced to sell to support its civilians uh stabilize its economy or fund its ongoing conflict with Russia"
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MicroStrategy holds 446,000 BTC, representing one of the largest corporate Bitcoin reserves globally.
"micro strategy holds one of the largest BTC reserves globally right now the company holds a jawdropping $446,000 400 BTC"
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MicroStrategy plans to raise $42 billion by 2027 through equity and fixed income to further accumulate Bitcoin.
"micro strategy aims to accumulate even more through its recently announced 2121 plan this strategy involves raising $42 billion by 2027 a split evenly between $21 billion in equity and $21 billion in fixed income"
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Marathon Digital holds over 44,000 BTC.
"Marathon digital a Bitcoin mining company with more than 44,000 BTC"
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Riot holds over 177,000 BTC.
"Riot another Bitcoin mining company with over 177,000 BTC"
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Block holds approximately 8,000 BTC.
"block a blockchain company owned by Twitter's founder and former CEO Jack dorsy which holds around 8,000 BTC"
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Satoshi Nakamoto is believed to control over 20,000 wallets containing an estimated 1 million BTC.
"satoshi's supposedly has control of over 20,000 wallets holding an estimated 1 million BTC"
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Historically, the year following a Bitcoin halving event is bullish and often marks a market cycle top.
"historically the post Haring year tends to be bullish and often marks the cycle top to help reach that goal"
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The introduction of altcoin ETFs may also increase attention on spot Bitcoin ETFs, potentially leading to a rotation of funds from altcoin ETFs into Bitcoin ETFs.
"the impending altcoin ETFs could not only draw attention to the altcoins in question but could likewise draw more attention to the spot Bitcoin ETFs for example we could see a rotation from altcoin ETFs into Bitcoin ETFs"
Pending
Large-scale tariffs implemented by Trump could increase the cost of imported goods, leading to consumer-level inflation.
"Trump implements large scale tariffs this would essentially put a tax on imported Goods and this makes them more expensive for businesses to obtain resulting in inflation at the consumer level"
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Mass deportations could lead to a labor shortage, forcing employers to offer higher wages, which would then be passed on to consumers as inflation.
"any Mass deportations could have a similar effect and that's because they could create a labor shortage employers with their need to fill the gaps by offering higher wages an expense that would then be passed on to Consumers"
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The incoming Trump administration is expected to adopt a more crypto-friendly stance and is actively forming teams to create favorable policies.
"Trump's incoming Administration brings a more crypto-friendly stance and is actively assembling teams to craft favorable policies"
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Trump intends to transfer cryptocurrency oversight from the SEC to the CFTC, which is perceived as more favorable to crypto.
"Trump plans to shift crypto oversight from the SEC to the CFTC which is seen as much less anti- crypto"
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The SEC may adopt a less hostile approach to crypto with Gary Gensler potentially being replaced by Paul Atkins, who is expected to be more accommodating.
"even the SEC itself might become less hostile with chairman Gary Gensler stepping down soon and likely being replaced by Paul Atkins who is expected to take a more B bed approach"
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