USD
USD
currency
53.3%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 7
Pending: 84
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
The current administration is actively seeking a moderately weaker US dollar to support economic growth, manage debt, and ease financial conditions, as a strong dollar would negatively impact exports and economic activity.
"The current administration does not want a strong US dollar. Here's why. A very strong dollar is goi..."
Dec 23, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve has resumed balance sheet expansion, effectively printing money, starting with $40 billion per month from December 12th.
"The Federal Reserve has restarted balance sheet expansion. So, they're calling it reserve management..."
Dec 23, 2025
Correct
A combination of falling interest rates and increased money supply is predicted to lead to a weakening of the US dollar.
"When interest rates fall and money supply increases, then the dollar often weakens."
Dec 23, 2025
Correct
Predicted that the US dollar will be the last fiat currency to 'go to zero' based on current trends.
"The dollar is probably going to be the last one standing right on on current trends just because it'..."
Dec 12, 2025
Pending
The US will be the biggest loser as the dollar loses its reserve status, which has enabled it to live beyond its means by consuming and borrowing without producing or saving sufficiently.
"So the rest of the world wins. America, of course, is the biggest loser because we have relied on th..."
Nov 23, 2025
Incorrect
The US dollar is predicted to be doomed, with people exiting the dollar and moving into gold.
"So, you know, the dollar is doomed. It's, you know, it's everybody's trying to get out of the dollar..."
Nov 23, 2025
Incorrect
The US national debt is projected to exceed $37 trillion.
"The United States government owes more than $37 trillion."
Oct 24, 2025
Correct
US government debt exceeds $37 trillion.
"The United States government owes more than $37 trillion."
Oct 1, 2025
Pending
US federal spending on interest payments is projected to rise from approximately 3% to over 5% of GDP by the year 2050.
"In the US, interest alone is set to climb from about 3% to over 5% of GDP by 205, eating up a larger..."
Sep 13, 2025
Pending
Banks tightening lending standards in 2025 suggests an impending economic event or shift.
"And now with banks tightening the lending standards again in 2025, the question is what's coming"
Sep 11, 2025
Pending
Predicted that the US dollar is quietly heading towards its biggest decline since 1986.
"the US dollar is quietly headed towards its biggest decline since 1986."
Jul 30, 2025
Incorrect
The US is aiming to legitimize stablecoins and potentially create its own stablecoin for the US dollar, indicating a drive for innovation in cryptocurrency.
"The whole goal behind this bill is to add more legitimacy to stable coins, maybe for the United Stat..."
Jul 23, 2025
Pending
US government debt currently exceeds $37 trillion.
"the US government is over $37 trillion in debts."
Jul 18, 2025
Correct
Average interest rates on US credit cards are now over 20%.
"And the average interest rates on credit cards are I mean that's now over 20%."
Jul 18, 2025
Correct
US credit card debt is currently just under $1.2 trillion and is expected to continue growing.
"now it's just under 1.2 trillion and it's still growing."
Jul 18, 2025
Pending
The 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act' signed by President Trump is retroactive to January 1, 2025, and includes tax breaks and funding for deportations.
"President Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act into law... It goes into effect January 1, 202..."
Jul 17, 2025
Pending
The US's trade deficit worsened due to an overvalued dollar, leading to more dollars circulating abroad and reinforcing the Triffin Dilemma.
"This in turn tended to worsen the US's trade deficit, further increasing the supply of dollars abroa..."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
The US dollar's role as a reserve currency allowed the US to finance its deficits by issuing currency that other nations were required to hold.
"The US was able to finance its own balance of payments deficits by issuing its own currency which ot..."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
JPMorgan predicts a 10-20% decline of the US dollar against the Euro and Japanese Yen in the medium term due to its overvaluation unwinding.
"Even JP Morgan called for a dollar reset, saying that the dollar's long-standing overvaluation is be..."
Jul 3, 2025
Incorrect
The US dollar experienced a record-breaking poor performance in 2025.
"And the US dollar has had a record-breaking bad year in 2025."
Jun 13, 2025
Incorrect
Interest rate cuts are expected to further weaken the US dollar.
"And then you throw interest rate cuts on top to further weaken the dollar. And that is not good. It'..."
Jun 13, 2025
Pending
The Treasury Department plans to expand its bond buyback program.
"the Treasury Department was planning on expanding its bond buyback program and Scott answered yes"
May 17, 2025
Pending
The Treasury Department forecasts a $2 trillion market cap for stablecoins by 2026.
"the Treasury Department stable coin forecast predicts $2 trillion of stable coins by 2026"
May 17, 2025
Pending
Stablecoins are projected to generate $2 trillion in demand for US government debt.
"stable coins could create up to $2 trillion of demand for US government debt"
May 17, 2025
Pending
By 2030, 10-30% of short-term US bonds may be bought by stablecoin issuers.
"the Treasury Department is foreshadowing a scenario where 10 to 30% of all short-term US bonds are b..."
May 17, 2025
Pending
The market is re-evaluating the US dollar's position as the global reserve currency, leading to a rapid de-dollarization process.
"The market is reassessing the structural attractiveness of the dollar as the world's global reserve ..."
Apr 15, 2025
Incorrect
The US dollar's reserve status is increasingly at risk, though the impact is not yet substantial.
"Vinnie went on record to say that the US dollar reserve status was in jeopardy, which has started to..."
Apr 15, 2025
Correct
Investors are expected to move into US 10-year Treasury notes, lowering yields and reducing government debt repayment costs.
"investors can be expected to flee from risk assets into the safety of US 10-year Treasury notes push..."
Apr 8, 2025
Pending
The Federal Reserve is forecasted to cut interest rates twice in the current year (2025).
"The Fed's recent forecast suggests that it expects to cut interest rates twice this year"
Apr 1, 2025
Pending
US policies aimed at reducing deficit spending, lowering the 10-year yield, cutting consumer costs, and reshoring manufacturing through tariffs are expected to have significant impacts.
"reducing deficit spending that's reducing the interest rate on debt reducing the 10-year yield reduc..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
The Atlanta Fed's estimate projects negative 2.8% GDP growth in Q1 2025, indicating a potentially significant economic downturn.
"this Atlanta fed came up with an estimate of their fed now of negative 2.8% growth in Q in q1 of 202..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Both Polymarket odds and JP Morgan estimate a 40% chance of a recession occurring.
"poly Market odds of recession at 40% as well as JP Morgan who are not you know came out with an esti..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Tariffs may be strategically used to encourage Chinese entities to purchase US bonds.
"potentially using tariffs as a tool to encourage Chinese buyers of us bonds..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
US CPI data is due on March 12th, with expectations of a decrease from 3% to 2.9%.
"March the 12th very important day CPI data the 3% was the previous number and then 2.9% is expected...."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
US PPI data will also be released on the same day as CPI, with expectations of a decrease from 3.5% to 3.3%.
"C ppi is on the same day and ppi is obviously it's not as important it's not as much focus on it as ..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
US stocks are declining following President Trump's acknowledgment of the possibility of a US recession.
"stocks are tumbling after president Trump didn't rule out the US entering a recession..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
The current US strategy prioritizes long-term economic health (reduced deficit, lower debt, lower interest rates, domestic production) over short-term market performance, with Trump indicating he is unconcerned about market fluctuations and anticipates short-term pain.
"the strategy doesn't care about stocks doesn't care about growth because short term it what these me..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Egg prices in the US have significantly increased due to an avian flu outbreak, making selling eggs for Bitcoin a profitable 'alpha' trade.
"selling eggs for BTC in the US now killing it killing it... I think there's been this outbreak of Av..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Canada has had substantial tariffs (up to 200%) on US imports, particularly dairy, to protect its farmers. This situation is being used as an example for broader tariff strategies, though the impact on overall trade agreements might be disproportionate.
"Canada's had 200% tariffs on the US for a while this is true especially on der I know this for a fac..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
The EU also has tariffs, particularly on dairy, and its farmer subsidies lead to dumping in Africa, harming local farmers. The speaker suggests that current tariffs, despite causing short-term chaos, might eventually lead to a more level playing field in international trade.
"EU's also got like also on Dairy I think EU and a lot of EU Farmers as well like they also the EU's ..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Trump's strategy prioritizes long-term economic goals over short-term market performance, and he believes markets are controlled by globalists, acknowledging potential short-term pain.
"So if the long term we saying yeah year to four years and Trump only you know if that's the strategy..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
If a recession occurs, it's theorized that Jerome Powell would be more inclined to implement deep rate cuts and initiate quantitative easing ('money printer go brrr').
"similarly if there is going to be a recession and recession will come and potentially there's also t..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are not expected until at least June.
"no rate cuts from the FED I thought at least until June so it's pricing in June for the rate Cuts..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Investors anticipate multiple Fed rate cuts in the second half of the year, with a consensus of three cuts.
"investors are expecting the interest rate probabilities in terms of the number of cuts expected as s..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
The Trump administration is prioritizing a reduction in long-term interest rates, specifically the 10-year yield, over short-term rates.
"Trump and bessent they're not focused on short-term rates they focused on long-term interest rates s..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Treasury Secretary Yellen reportedly meets weekly with Fed Chair Powell to coordinate efforts on interest rate policy.
"bessent meet regularly once a week with poell apparently okay like he basically him and poell are wo..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
The reduction in the 10-year interest rate is seen as a strategic success, as it directly impacts the cost of living for average Americans, including mortgage and credit card costs, which are more important to voters than stock or crypto prices.
"he's had success at look at the tenure rate and this coming down and this is a in terms of the strat..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
A significant US Treasury refinancing of approximately $7 trillion is anticipated, with a potential for rates as low as 4%.
"there is talk of this I think it's about7 trillion dollar worth of debt refinancing exactly and obvi..."
Mar 10, 2025
Pending
Donald Trump delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada by one month, a move that has been repeatedly altered, causing market reactions.
"President Donald Trump again announced a one month delay in tariffs especially for Mexico and Canada..."
Mar 6, 2025
Correct
The Dollar Index trading at recent lows is being viewed positively by the market.
"Dollar Index comparatively at recent lows again taken positively by the market"
Mar 6, 2025
Incorrect