ilmscore | This CRAZY Report Could CRASH ETH's Price!

This CRAZY Report Could CRASH ETH's Price!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 14
Correct: 7
Incorrect: 2
Pending: 5
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Bitmine's BMNR stock is at risk of significant dilution, potentially driving down its price.
"you realize that Bitmines's BMNR stock could be quickly diluted and that could push its price lower."
BMNR
Pending
Bitmine's Net Asset Value (NAV) multiple experienced a significant collapse from over 2x to 1.2x within a month, despite substantial ETH holdings growth.
"Between August 25th and October 6th, Bitmine's ETH stash grew by 65% from 1.7 million ETH to 2.8 million ETH. And yet, its ETH per share only grew by 17%. Meanwhile, its MNAV collapsed from over 2x in August to just 1.2x 2x only a month later."
BMNR
Correct
Bitmine has been aggressively issuing shares through its ATM program, approximately $170 million daily since July, to fund its ETH accumulation, raising over $10 billion.
"The report notes that Bitmine has relied heavily on its ATM program since July, issuing roughly 240 million shares of BMNR to raise more than 10 billion to accumulate ETH. That works out to roughly 170 million every single trading day."
BMNR
Pending
Bitmine's methods of capital raising are considered problematic, as evidenced by a 15% drop in its stock price shortly after a direct offering.
"Ultimately, this proved that Bitmine couldn't raise capital cleanly. And just 3 days after the announcement, BMNR plummeted 15%."
BMNR
Correct
The failure of Bitmine, as the largest Ethereum DAT and second largest DAT overall, could have significant negative repercussions throughout the entire Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) sector.
"So, if a company of this size were to falter, it could trigger major ripple effects across the entire DAT landscape, be they for ETH, BTC, or altcoins."
BMNR
Correct
Bitmine is expected to face significant challenges competing with Ethereum ETFs, which could negatively impact its MNAV premium and consequently lower the MNAV of other DAT companies.
"Realistically though, Bitmine is likely to struggle against Ethereum ETFs. This will likely hurt its MNAV premium and in turn drag down the MNAVs of other DATO too."
BMNR
Correct
MicroStrategy's declining MNAV to around 1.2x, with a risk of falling below 1x, suggests that the entire Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) model might be fundamentally unsustainable.
"Widely regarded as the most important DACO out there, its MNAV has already dropped to around 1.2x. 2x and could be heading toward a 1x with the risk of dipping even lower. If that happens, it would signal that the entire DAT model may be fundamentally unsustainable."
MSTR
Pending
A potential stumble by MicroStrategy could pose a significant risk to Bitcoin.
"if Sailor's company starts to stumble, that could post a big risk to Bitcoin."
BTC
Incorrect
Multiple Ethereum ETF applications are expected to be approved in October.
"Many of the pending ETF applications are expected to be approved in October..."
Ethereum ETFs
Incorrect
The rise of Ethereum treasury companies will lead to significant volatility in ETH.
"Ethereum treasury companies are going to create serious volatility for ETH."
Ethereum Treasury Companies Volatility
Correct
The Net Asset Value (NAV) multiple for MicroStrategy has declined significantly, indicating potential challenges for the Digital Asset Treasury Company (DATCO) model.
"The report notes that its MNAV had dropped from 2.5x to 1.4x in recent months. In fact, as I record this, it sits at just 1.2x, a decline of over 50%."
Digital Asset Treasury Company Model Sustainability
Correct
A 'death spiral' scenario is predicted for Digital Asset Treasury Companies (DATCOs) if bearish conditions erode their MNAV and coincide with debt maturities, potentially leading to widespread liquidations.
"This death spiral refers to bearish conditions eroding a company's MNAV just as sizable debt maturities become due. ... until every DACO is essentially wiped out."
Digital Asset Treasury Company Death Spiral
Pending
A significant wave of altcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) is anticipated to enter the market soon.
"What's more is that the tsunami of altcoin ETFs could hit the market soon."
Altcoin ETFs Market Impact
Correct
If the DAT model proves unsustainable, Treasury companies may be compelled to sell their crypto holdings, including Bitcoin.
"And if that were to happen, we could see these Treasury companies being forced to sell their crypto, even BTC."
Potential Crypto Treasury Sell-off
Pending