MST
MSTR
stock
32.3%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 21
Pending: 62
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
MSCI to make final conclusions on proposed changes by January 15th, 2026, with any changes to index inclusion potentially implemented in the February 2026 review.
"final conclusions due by January 15th, 2026. If they go ahead, Msei says any changes would land with..."
Dec 17, 2025
Pending
The market's reaction to Strategy stock's price movement in January, particularly if it stabilizes or avoids significant drops despite negative news, could indicate that the risk of MSCI removal is already factored into the price.
"Watch price movement around the key decision windows. If MSTR stops grinding lower into January and ..."
Dec 17, 2025
Incorrect
Analysts from JP Morgan project that if Strategy stock is removed from MSCI indexes, it could lead to approximately $2.8 billion in outflows.
"JP Morgan analysts have warned that removal from MSCI indexes alone could result in about $2.8 billi..."
Dec 17, 2025
Incorrect
MSCI is expected to finalize its conclusions regarding the proposed changes by January 15th, 2026.
"final conclusions due by January 15th, 2026."
Dec 17, 2025
Pending
Strategy argues that it is an operating business, not an investment fund, and that MSCI's categorization of it as fund-like is incorrect.
"Strategy says DATs like them are operating businesses, not investment funds, and that MSCI's fundlik..."
Dec 17, 2025
Incorrect
JP Morgan believes that potential MSCI exclusion risk for Strategy stock has largely been priced in, suggesting the market reaction to the decision might be more impactful than the decision itself.
"JP Morgan has argued that much of the MSCI exclusion risk is already priced in, which means the deci..."
Dec 17, 2025
Incorrect
Strategy has secured approximately $1.44 billion in cash to cover preferred dividends and debt interest payments for approximately 21 months, reducing the likelihood of near-term forced Bitcoin sales.
"Strategy has recently raised roughly $1.44 44 billion of cash specifically to cover preferred divide..."
Dec 17, 2025
Pending
Should other index providers emulate MSCI's potential decision to exclude Strategy stock, the total projected outflows could reach up to $8.8 billion.
"If other index providers were to follow suit, which is possible, those analysts project up to 8.8 bi..."
Dec 17, 2025
Correct
MicroStrategy is seen as a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, with its value tied to Bitcoin's increasing use as collateral, positioning the company as a major holder of Bitcoin.
"I view Micro Strategy as Bitcoin. I view it as innovation as Bitcoin becomes the growth name. Meanin..."
Dec 12, 2025
Correct
MicroStrategy is viewed as a proxy for Bitcoin's growth and innovation, particularly as Bitcoin becomes collateralized, with the company expected to hold a significant portion of the world's Bitcoin.
"I view Micro Strategy as Bitcoin. I view it as innovation as Bitcoin becomes the growth name. Meanin..."
Dec 12, 2025
Correct
MicroStrategy is considered a leveraged play on Bitcoin, with its future growth tied to Bitcoin's increasing role as collateral, positioning the company as a major Bitcoin holder.
"I view Micro Strategy as Bitcoin. I view it as innovation as Bitcoin becomes the growth name. Meanin..."
Dec 12, 2025
Correct
MicroStrategy's stock performance is negatively impacted by Bitcoin's flat performance and the collapse of market volatility.
"I still believe in that component. I think the other thing that's hurt him aside from Bitcoin just h..."
Dec 12, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker owns MicroStrategy not just for Bitcoin leverage, but as a bet on its future business opportunities in the digital economy, especially if Bitcoin reaches $1 million.
"I own it because it's a bet on the capital structure of the digital economy five years from now when..."
Dec 12, 2025
Pending
MicroStrategy has approximately 21 months of cash reserves to cover its obligations. If this cash runs out and the stock remains below MNAV, they may be forced to sell Bitcoin, initiating a debt spiral.
"And at today's burn rate, they have about 21 months before the cash runs out. If that continues and ..."
Dec 8, 2025
Pending
MSCI is reviewing whether companies with over 50% digital asset exposure should remain in their benchmarks. If MicroStrategy is removed from the MSCI World index on January 15th, 2026, it would trigger automatic selling of its stock by index-tracking funds.
"So if strategy is removed from I can't remember which MCI index is it the MSCI world. Yeah. So if it..."
Dec 8, 2025
Pending
MicroStrategy can raise cash by selling its stock at a premium when the stock trades above the value of its Bitcoin holdings. This is a strategy that has allowed them to acquire significant amounts of Bitcoin.
"If the stock trades above the value of their Bitcoin, they can raise cash by selling their shares at..."
Dec 8, 2025
Correct
If MicroStrategy's stock trades at a discount to its Bitcoin holdings (MNAV below 1), they will stop issuing shares. If cash reserves run low, they will be forced to sell Bitcoin, potentially triggering a debt spiral.
"In other words, the moment the market stops overpaying for their Bitcoin, everything flips. They sto..."
Dec 8, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted MSTR or BMR would experience bigger price movements when Bitcoin has smaller bids.
"If you're looking for bigger moves off the bottom, like when the small bid happens in crypto, a bigg..."
Dec 8, 2025
Pending
If MicroStrategy's stock price falls below the value of its Bitcoin holdings (MNAV < 1), the company's strategy indicates selling Bitcoin or Bitcoin derivatives.
"The other outcome, right? The not so good one. And here's where they show what happens if the stock ..."
Dec 8, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that MicroStrategy (MSTR) is preparing for a bear market.
"MSTR Michael Sailor's Bitcoin buying has collapsed through 2025, signaling they're bracing for a bar..."
Dec 4, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that if Bitcoin falls below $90,000, MSTR will also dump.
"if Bitcoin begins to fall below 90,000, I know that as Bitcoin begins to fall, MSTR will begin to du..."
Dec 4, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that MicroStrategy (MSTR) will be forced to sell Bitcoin if market uncertainty persists, red flags arise, and Bitcoin continues to sell off, driving MSTR's MicroStrategy Net Asset Value (MNAV) lower.
"And if for some reason, I'm just saying, if markets continue to remain uncertain and those red flags..."
Dec 3, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock will crash if Bitcoin (BTC) breaks below $90,000, due to pressure for MicroStrategy to sell Bitcoin.
"I think that if BTC breaks below 90,000, MSTR is going to continue to crash as there's so much press..."
Dec 3, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that MicroStrategy (MSTR) stock would continue to crash if Bitcoin (BTC) breaks below $90,000.
"I think that if BTC breaks below 90,000, MSTR is going to continue to crash as there's so much press..."
Dec 3, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that Micro Strategy's performance will get 'really bad' as soon as Bitcoin begins to crash and fall apart.
"But as soon as Bitcoin begins to crash and fall apart, that's where it can get really bad."
Dec 2, 2025
Correct
MicroStrategy stock is expected to be volatile in the two months leading up to the MSCI decision on January 15, 2026.
"The next two months leading up to that 15th of January decision are going to be choppy for MSTR stoc..."
Dec 2, 2025
Correct
Predicted that Micro Strategy's situation will worsen once Bitcoin begins to sell off.
"if you think that it's looking bad right now for Micro Strategy, just you wait until Bitcoin actuall..."
Dec 2, 2025
Correct
Predicted that Micro Strategy (MSTR) will experience a significant sell-off if Bitcoin drops to $80,000.
"If we do end up getting rejected here and we go back down to 80,000 uh per coin on Bitcoin, what do ..."
Dec 2, 2025
Incorrect
MicroStrategy has the theoretical option to suspend preferred stock dividend payments if facing severe financial pressure.
"If push comes to shove, the company could theoretically suspend those dividends."
Dec 2, 2025
Pending
If MicroStrategy is excluded from MSCI indices, it could trigger approximately $2.8 billion in forced selling of MSTR stock.
"According to analysis from JP Morgan, exclusion from the MSCI indices alone would trigger approximat..."
Dec 2, 2025
Incorrect
MSCI will announce its decision on whether to exclude digital asset treasury companies like MicroStrategy from its main equity indices by January 15, 2026.
"The consultation period ends on the 31st of December, 2025, and the final decision is expected to be..."
Dec 2, 2025
Pending
If other index providers follow MSCI's lead, the total forced selling of MSTR stock could reach $8.8 billion.
"And if that happens, the total force selling could reach as high as $8.8 billion."
Dec 2, 2025
Pending
Predicted that shorting Micro Strategy will be favorable when a catalyst causes Bitcoin to crash.
"When the catalyst is causing Bitcoin to crash, then at that point it makes sense to short Micro Stra..."
Dec 2, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted MicroStrategy (MSTR) could sell off 15-20% on December 19, 2025.
"who knows maybe Micro Strategy can sell off 15 to maybe 20% on the day because"
Dec 1, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that December 19, 2025, marks the beginning of the end for MicroStrategy.
"Today is the beginning of the end for Micro Strategy."
Dec 1, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that MicroStrategy (MSTR) might test $140-$150 if Bitcoin falls below $80,000.
"If Bitcoin falls below 80,000, maybe we'll test 150 140 for Micro Strategy and I'd love to short it,..."
Dec 1, 2025
Incorrect
Predicted that MicroStrategy (MSTR) will report net losses during a future Bitcoin bear market due to the requirement to show unrealized losses.
"What do you think is going to happen when Bitcoin, as we've recently seen, begins to retrace for an ..."
Nov 28, 2025
Correct
MicroStrategy's financial statements are misleading as they include unrealized Bitcoin gains as earnings; excluding these, the company operates at a loss.
"If you look at their financials, exing out the unrealized Bitcoin gains, which they they count as ea..."
Nov 23, 2025
Pending
MicroStrategy's business model, relying on its stock trading at a premium to generate a 'Bitcoin yield', will collapse if the stock trades at a discount, making it pointless to own MicroStrategy instead of Bitcoin directly.
"This business model can only continue so long as the stock is trading at a premium. And once it's tr..."
Nov 23, 2025
Incorrect
MicroStrategy's core business is buying Bitcoin, funded by issuing stock at a premium, which allowed them to increase their Bitcoin holdings per share and create the illusion of a 'Bitcoin yield'.
"Micro Strategy's real business is buying Bitcoin. That's its business. And how does it buy Bitcoin? ..."
Nov 23, 2025
Correct
MicroStrategy will cease buying Bitcoin as its stock trades at a discount to NAV, invalidating its investment thesis of generating a 'Bitcoin yield'.
"And the most significant thing is that Micro Strategy is going to stop buying. And when they can no ..."
Nov 23, 2025
Incorrect
MicroStrategy is expected to stop dividend payments on its preferred stock, which will eliminate demand for these instruments.
"But the problem is they've issued a lot of these convertible debt where they've promised to pay divi..."
Nov 23, 2025
Pending
MicroStrategy will cease buying Bitcoin as its stock trades at a discount to NAV, invalidating its investment thesis of generating a 'Bitcoin yield'.
"And the most significant thing is that Micro Strategy is going to stop buying. And when they can no ..."
Nov 23, 2025
Incorrect
MicroStrategy will face a liquidity crisis in 2028-2030 when billions in convertible debt mature, forcing them to sell depreciating Bitcoin to repay the debt, revealing the 'Ponzi' nature of the company.
"And strategy does have a lot of convertibles that are going to mature and they're going to have to p..."
Nov 23, 2025
Pending
MicroStrategy's declining MNAV to around 1.2x, with a risk of falling below 1x, suggests that the entire Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) model might be fundamentally unsustainable.
"Widely regarded as the most important DACO out there, its MNAV has already dropped to around 1.2x. 2..."
Oct 26, 2025
Pending
MicroStrategy might engage in hostile acquisitions of underperforming altcoin DATs.
"companies like Micro Strategy which is the by you know the top tier DAT out there right like in term..."
Sep 29, 2025
Pending
Gemini now provides tokenized MicroStrategy stock to its users.
"Kraken and Bibbit are among the first to get involved along with Gemini which now offers tokenized m..."
Jul 10, 2025
Pending
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) unveiled its 2121 plan to raise $42 billion, split between equity and fixed-rate securities.
"Strategy also unveiled its 2121 plan which involved raising $42 billion a split evenly between $21 b..."
May 7, 2025
Pending
MicroStrategy's stock (MSTR) acts as a leveraged play on Bitcoin and often outperforms it.
"MSTR's price acts as a leveraged play on BTC often outperforming BTC itself"
May 7, 2025
Pending
MicroStrategy rebranded to 'Strategy' in February 2025, signaling its commitment to being the world's first Bitcoin Treasury Company.
"the rebrand to strategy in February 2025 reflects this transformation with a new Bitcoin inspired lo..."
May 7, 2025
Pending