ilmscore | Is Microstrategy About To Sell Bitcoin?

Is Microstrategy About To Sell Bitcoin?

Published: 2025-12-02
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 5
Pending: 3
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
MSCI will announce its decision on whether to exclude digital asset treasury companies like MicroStrategy from its main equity indices by January 15, 2026.
"The consultation period ends on the 31st of December, 2025, and the final decision is expected to be announced on the 15th of January, 2026."
MSTR
Pending
If MicroStrategy is excluded from MSCI indices, it could trigger approximately $2.8 billion in forced selling of MSTR stock.
"According to analysis from JP Morgan, exclusion from the MSCI indices alone would trigger approximately $2.8 billion in forced selling."
MSTR
Incorrect
If other index providers follow MSCI's lead, the total forced selling of MSTR stock could reach $8.8 billion.
"And if that happens, the total force selling could reach as high as $8.8 billion."
MSTR
Pending
As of November 2025, MicroStrategy holds 649,870 Bitcoin.
"Strategy holds a staggering 649,870 Bitcoin."
BTC
Incorrect
MicroStrategy is unlikely to be able to make large Bitcoin purchases to support the market in the near future due to its current financial situation.
"Do not expect strategy to bail out the next dip with a billion dollar buy. They likely can't afford it right now."
BTC
Correct
An MSCI exclusion of MicroStrategy could signal a reluctance from traditional finance towards crypto treasury companies, potentially slowing corporate adoption of Bitcoin.
"If MSCI excludes strategy, it sends a message that traditional finance is closing the door on crypto treasury companies. It says you can be a tech company or you can be a crypto fund, but you can't be both."
BTC
Incorrect
MicroStrategy stock is expected to be volatile in the two months leading up to the MSCI decision on January 15, 2026.
"The next two months leading up to that 15th of January decision are going to be choppy for MSTR stock."
MSTR
Correct
MicroStrategy would likely face liquidation pressure on older loans if Bitcoin falls to between $3,000 and $4,000.
"Sailor himself has said that Bitcoin would need to fall to around $3,000 or $4,000 before they faced any real liquidation pressure on their older loans."
BTC
Incorrect
MicroStrategy has the theoretical option to suspend preferred stock dividend payments if facing severe financial pressure.
"If push comes to shove, the company could theoretically suspend those dividends."
MSTR
Pending
The correlation between MicroStrategy's Bitcoin purchases and Bitcoin's price is statistically low, suggesting its buying activity is not a reliable predictor of price increases.
"In fact, the correlation between strategies buying activity and Bitcoin's price is surprisingly low around 0.25 to 0.28. This means that statistically strategy buying Bitcoin does not reliably predict the price going up."
BTC
Incorrect