ilmscore | Losing $250,000 | My Response To TheStradman

Losing $250,000 | My Response To TheStradman

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Lumber costs have doubled for construction projects, deviating significantly from normal market fluctuations.
"In the Stride Man's case, it's not like he could just front $250,000 and store a whole bunch of wood in a warehouse. Instead, builders update their quotes periodically throughout the construction process and then adjust as needed depending on what materials have gone up or down in price. In a normal market, fluctuations like this are usually pretty minor. But in this case, the lumber cost has doubled."
Construction Costs
Pending
Delays in construction are costing an additional $6,000 per month due to loan interest, rent, and other expenses, with penalties if not completed by April 2022.
"So, the problem is, for every month the project gets delayed, it costs him an extra $6,000 for his loan, interest payments, rent on both the house and a warehouse, and a multitude of other costs that just continue to add up. Not to mention, he only has a one-year loan to complete the house. So, if it's not done by April of 2022, he will be paying fees on fees on fees."
Home Construction Timeline
Pending
Lumber prices increased by 33% a week after the video was posted and are expected to rise further due to supply chain issues.
"One week after he posted the video, lumber prices didn't only go down, they went up another 33%. And now they're expected to go up even more due to worsening supply chain issues."
Lumber Prices
Pending
Costs for PVC, drywall, copper pipe, and wiring have increased 25-40% year-over-year, with garage doors and insulation up 10-25% and 16-week wait times.
"The cost of PVC, drywall, copper pipe, and wiring is up 25 to 40% year-over-year. and even items like garage doors and insulation has gone up 10 to 25% with wait times of 16 weeks just to receive the product."
Material Costs
Pending
Overall construction costs have risen by an average of 20%.
"building costs across everything on average are up 20%."
Overall Construction Costs
Pending
The estimated cost for the dream home has increased significantly from just over $200,000 to an anticipated $2.7-2.8 million.
"I think we're at about 2.5 million is what it'll be. Originally, it was about it was just over 200,000. I anticipate we'll probably be about 2.7 2.8 if I had to guess."
Dream Home Budget
Pending
The speaker hopes to complete the dream home by next summer.
"And I am praying that we'll be done next summer."
Dream Home Completion Date
Pending
A more realistic projection for the dream home completion is 3 million dollars and another year to year and a half.
"prepare for 3 million and prepare by uh probably another year and few months."
Dream Home Completion Projection
Pending
A bet was made that the house construction would take 18 months.
"I would bet you $1,000 now. It's going to be 18 months."
House Construction Timeline Bet
Pending
Another person predicted the house construction would take 12 months.
"I'm going to say 12 months."
House Construction Timeline Bet
Pending