ilmscore | The Mother Of All Bubbles Is Coming

The Mother Of All Bubbles Is Coming

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 8
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Elon Musk predicted Tesla would be worth $700 billion by 2025.
"Elon Musk said the company could be worth 700 billion dollars by 2025 and people call them insane"
TSLA
Pending
For Rivian's $125 billion valuation to be comparable to Tesla's, Rivian needs to deliver approximately 130,000 vehicles in 2023 and 400,000 in 2025.
"rivian is trading more than double Tesla's projected revenue for 2022. and for the current valuation of 125 billion to be comparable to that of Tesla the company has to roughly deliver 130 000 vehicles in 2023 and 400 000 vehicles in 2025."
RIVN
Pending
Stock market valuations have been distorted by artificially low interest rates, and valuations can only remain high if interest rates do not increase.
"the Federal Reserve has distorted stock market valuations by keeping interest rates artificially low and causing more money to enter the market driving prices up however the issue becomes those prices are only justified when interest rates are low and that the only way evaluations can stay high is to believe that interest rates won't eventually go back up"
Interest Rates and Market Valuation
Pending
Retail investors tend to enter the market late in the cycle and may lose money.
"retail investors like you and I are prone to entering the market at the late stage of the cycle and are often left holding the bag"
Retail Investor Behavior
Pending
The Shiller P/E ratio during the dot-com bubble crash in 2001 was approximately 66, more than double the overall market ratio at the time of this transcript.
"in 2001. right as the.com bubble was about to crash it was sitting around 66 which is more than twice as high as what we're seeing today throughout the overall Market"
Shiller P/E Ratio
Pending
The cyclically adjusted P/E ratio is higher than in 1929 and approaching 2001 levels, indicating potentially extended valuations.
"if we look at the cyclically adjusted price to earnings ratio we can see that yes we are higher than we were in 1929 and approaching that of 2001. suggesting that perhaps some valuations have extended Beyond where they should be"
Cyclically Adjusted P/E Ratio
Pending
The market can remain irrational for longer than an individual can financially sustain their position.
"the market will remain irrational longer than you could remain and solvent"
Market Irrationality
Pending
The optimal strategy for most investors is a diversified portfolio of long-term holdings intended to be kept for 10 to 20 years.
"the best thing for most investors is a well-diversified portfolio of long-term positions that you don't plan to sell for 10 to 20 years"
Long-Term Investing Strategy
Pending