It’s Over: Why Investors Are Screwed
Published: 2022-03-11
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2022-03-11
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
A cryptocurrency executive order caused Bitcoin prices to surge by 13% almost immediately after its release.
"the cryptocurrency executive order which sent Bitcoin prices surging 13 percent almost instantaneously after its release"
Pending
The recent cryptocurrency executive order may bring the market closer to the approval of Bitcoin or Ethereum ETFs.
"it can also bring us one step closer to the Holy Grail of getting a Bitcoin or an ethereum ETF"
Pending
Periods of retail investor inflows into the market have historically been followed by above-average S&P 500 returns, while periods of retail selling have been followed by below-average returns. Retail flows are considered a slightly better positive indicator than hedge fund flows.
"S P 500 returns following periods of retail inflows have been above average and returned post-selling have been below average with retail flows to slightly better positive indicator than hedge fund flows"
Pending
While institutional investors are adept at timing their purchases, their selling decisions have historically underperformed, leading to an 80 basis point lower return compared to selling at random. This suggests they are good at buying but poor at selling.
"even though they usually have great timing when they buy they're selling decisions underperformed substantially or in other words they're really good at picking the right time to buy but really bad at picking the right time to sell leading them to an 80 basis point lower return than had they just sold at random instead"
Pending
High investor sentiment historically predicts low future returns, and conversely, extreme fear predicts higher future growth. The current state of extreme fear suggests a potential for significant growth in the coming years.
"historically High investor sentiment predicts low future returns and vice versa suggesting that in this case as we approach extreme fear we could very well be positioned for even higher growth throughout these next few years"
Pending
Stocks in the S&P 500 tend to experience a 5% rise in the year following a stock split, with approximately 2.5% of that gain occurring immediately after the announcement for splits between 2012 and 2018.
"stocks in the S P 500 tend to rise five percent in the year following share splits including two and a half percent immediately following the announcement on splits between 2012 and 2018"
Pending
Companies are more likely to execute stock splits when they anticipate strong future earnings growth, which naturally leads to a stronger share price.
"research shows the companies are likely to undergo a stock split if they believe they're going to have strong earnings growth going forward and that in turn leads to a strong share price naturally"
Pending
The potential inclusion of either Google or Amazon in the Dow Jones Industrial Average could be a significant event.
"if it happened could be huge"
Pending
Companies are typically added to the Dow Jones if they have an excellent reputation, demonstrate sustained growth, and are of significant interest to a large number of investors.
"a stock is typically added only if the company has an excellent reputation demonstrates sustained growth and is of interest to a large number of investors"
Pending
Inclusion in the Dow Jones is not automatic and requires agreement and voting based on strict criteria to ensure the selected 30 companies best represent the broad economy.
"inclusion in the Dow Jones is an automatic and there's a strict set of criteria that must be agreed and voted on to determine which 30 companies best represent the broad economy"
Pending
The recent US cryptocurrency executive order is viewed as a supportive action that legitimizes cryptocurrencies by initiating regulation and emphasizing education and innovation.
"overall this is seen as an incredibly supportive action that legitimizes cryptocurrencies by making them worthy of Regulation while placing a pretty high importance in both education and Innovation"
Pending
Increased regulation against pump-and-dump schemes, prosecution of those promoting securities as cryptocurrencies, and the removal of bad actors from the market are expected outcomes of the new executive order.
"as a result we're going to see a lot more regulation against pump and dumps prosecution against people who promote a security under the guise of being a cryptocurrency and ridding the market of Bad actors"
Pending
Long-term regulation is predicted to be beneficial for the cryptocurrency market.
"long-term War regulation I think is only going to help cryptocurrencies even further"
Pending
While rising mortgage rates may act as a headwind in 2022, housing prices are expected to moderate, leading to a more balanced market where prices may not increase as rapidly but could still continue to rise.
"housing prices will moderate resulting in a more balanced Market meaning prices might not rise as fast as they have been but they could still very well rise"
Pending
An equilibrium in the real estate market is defined by a six-month supply of homes for sale. A supply above this mark favors buyers, while a supply below (like the 1.6 months of inventory in January) favors sellers.
"the real estate markets defined equilibrium is a six-month supply of homes for sale when it goes above that Mark the options are plentiful and it becomes a buyer's market anything below is more beneficial to sellers January's inventory measured 1.6"
Pending