ilmscore | THE FED JUST RESET THE MARKET | Major Changes Explained

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 10
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Historically, the S&P 500 has shown gains during periods of rising interest rates, with an average increase of 6.4%.
"in 80% or 10 of 13 prior periods, the S&P 500 posted gains as rates rose. In fact, they reported that the average increase in the index was 6.4% only slightly lower than the historical average of 7.1%."
SPX
Pending
Bitcoin adoption is projected to reach 10% by 2030.
"one report believes that Bitcoin adoption will hit 10% by 2030"
BTC
Pending
Bitcoin is predicted to reach half the market cap of gold, equating to $250,000 per Bitcoin.
"Another investment manager believes that eventually Bitcoin will go half the market cap of gold or $250,000 of Bitcoin."
BTC
Pending
The neutral interest rate is estimated to be between 2.5% and 2.75%, with a possibility of reaching 4.25% if inflation does not decrease.
"the neutral interest rate isn't even known. It's just estimated based on various analysis and observations. Now, it's assumed to be somewhere between 2 1/2 and 2.75%, which means there's a good chance we could get there by the end of the year. But others argue that this assumes that inflation comes down. And if it doesn't, they may need to increase rates even further with one analysis calling for rates to hit 4.25%. 25%"
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Pending
Potential for more 75 basis point rate hikes, leading to a federal funds rate of 3.5% to 4% by the end of the year.
"Meaning we could potentially see more 75 basis point rate hikes, bringing us to a 3 and 1/2 to 4% federal funds rate by the end of the year."
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Pending
Inflation is predicted to peak and begin cooling down in 2023 and 2024, eventually returning to a 2% baseline.
"they think that inflation has already begun to peak and that prices will begin to cool down throughout 2023 and 2024 eventually returning to their baseline of 2%."
Inflation
Pending
The economy is projected to slow down over the next two years, with a slight increase in the unemployment rate.
"they also projected a slowing economy throughout the next 2 years with the unemployment rate beginning to slightly increase."
Economy
Pending
Economist Mark Zi predicts a 5-10% price correction in overvalued housing markets, rather than a crash like in 2008.
"The economist Mark Zi believes that the housing market is not going to crash like it did back in 2008, but there will be a correction of 5 to 10% price reductions in significantly overvalued markets."
Real Estate Market
Pending
Bank of America economists forecast a potential 15% increase in housing prices this year due to low supply.
"Bank of America economists warned that low supply will likely drive prices up another 15% this year."
Real Estate Market
Pending
The Federal Reserve aims to achieve a non-negative real interest rate, meaning rates higher than the inflation rate.
"the Fed is trying to get a real interest rate that's not negative. For example, if rates are 5% and inflation is 7%, it's still 2% negative."
Real Interest Rate
Pending