ilmscore | The Mother Of All Crashes Is Coming | Michael Burry’s Final Warning

The Mother Of All Crashes Is Coming | Michael Burry’s Final Warning

Published: 2022-07-01
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 9
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 9
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Michael Burry predicts the S&P 500 will bottom out at 1862, a 50% decrease from current levels, with a P/E ratio of 16.
"he predicts a p e ratio bottoming at 16 which would translate to an S P 500 of 1862 or roughly 50 percent lower than where we are today"
S&P 500 Valuation
Pending
US personal savings rate is at 2013 levels, the lowest since 2008, with credit card debt nearing record highs, indicating a bleak consumer outlook.
"U.S personal savings has fallen to 2013 levels the savings rate is the lowest it's been since 2008 and credit card debt is approaching a record amount"
US Personal Savings Rate
Pending
Michael Burry estimates Americans could exhaust their savings between September and December of the current year.
"at this rate he estimates that at the current trajectory Americans could run out of savings by September to December of this year"
American Consumer Savings
Pending
A Federal Funds Rate exceeding 3.5% will break the 40-year downtrend in interest rates, signaling a new era of investing.
"if we get a federal funds rate above three and a half percent that will have broken the interest rate downtrend that was started over 40 years ago"
Interest Rate Trend
Pending
Bank of America predicts the S&P 500 will bottom at 3000 around October 19, 2022.
"matching that pattern will put the end of the pain on October 19th 2022 with an S P 500 likely bottoming at three thousand"
Stock Market Bottom (Bank of America)
Pending
Significant one-day rallies in the Nasdaq and S&P 500 occurred during major market drops in the 2000s and 1929, respectively.
"12 of the top 20 NASDAQ one day rallies happened during the 78 drop from the 2000s top nine of the top 20 S P 500 one day rallies happened during the 86 drop in the 1929 top"
Bear Market Rallies
Pending
Historically, bear markets do not bottom out unless the VIX index reaches 45 or higher.
"historically no bear Market has ever bought without a vix reading of 45 or more"
Bear Market Bottoming (VIX)
Pending
Historically, the stock market often bottoms out around the time the Federal Reserve begins to loosen monetary policy.
"on 11 of those occasions the stock market managed to bottom out only around the time that the FED shifted towards loosening monetary policy again"
Market Bottoming and FED Policy
Pending
Michael Burry compared index funds to subprime CDOs in 2019, stating they distort company valuations. This prediction has not yet materialized as index funds remain a solid investment.
"he compared index funds with the subprime cdos of 2008. for this he claimed that index funds were distorting the true valuations of the companies held within them"
Index Funds vs. CDOs
Pending