ilmscore | It Started: The Worst Housing Crash In 40 Years

It Started: The Worst Housing Crash In 40 Years

Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 11
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Goldman Sachs predicts further declines in US housing prices.
"Goldman Sachs believing that more price drops are likely to come soon."
US Housing Market
Pending
Housing prices in the US began to decline in July, marking the first drop in 32 months, according to Black Knight.
"Black Knight reports that the housing market has officially shifted from slowing down to a decline in July with median prices falling for the first time in 32 months."
US Housing Market
Pending
The deceleration of US annual housing price growth in July was the most rapid in over four decades.
"Annual price growth in July was the fastest single month deceleration in more than 40 years."
US Housing Market
Pending
San Jose, California experienced the largest housing price decline, dropping 10% in the last three months.
"The largest decline so far is awarded to San Jose California with a 10 drop in just the last three months."
San Jose Housing Market
Pending
July was among the least affordable months for housing in the past three decades, requiring approximately 33% of the median household income to buy an average home.
"Black Knight mentions that with prices beginning to decline this last July was one of 10 of the least affordable months in the last three decades with almost 33 percent of the median household income to purchase the average home."
US Housing Market
Pending
The US housing market is predicted to shift in favor of buyers by December, reaching a six-month inventory threshold for the first time in recent years.
"They estimate that we would cross the six-month inventory threshold by December tipping the market in favor of buyers for the first time in recent years."
US Housing Market
Pending
Goldman Sachs forecasts zero percent home price growth on average for 2023, with potential for outright declines in some regions.
"Goldman Sachs came on record to say that we expect home price growth to stall completely averaging zero percent in 2023 while outright declines in National home prices are possible and appear quite likely for some regions."
US Housing Market
Pending
The market anticipates an 82% probability of a 75 basis point interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve on September 21st, potentially leading to the highest rates since 2007.
"The market currently believes that the Federal Reserve is 82 likely to implement another 75 basis point rate hike on September 21st meaning we could soon see the highest interest rates since 2007."
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Pending
An increase in homes available for rent is expected to ease inventory pressure and potentially lower rental prices.
"With more homes being offered for release this should help ease up some inventory and help bring down prices right alongside with it."
US Rental Market
Pending
Due to mortgage rates at or above 6%, potential homebuyers and sellers are prioritizing the back-to-school season and end-of-summer activities over engaging in the uncertain housing market.
"A Redfin Chief Economist even went so far to explain that thanks largely to mortgage rates near or even above six percent potential home buyers and sellers are focusing on the back to school season and enjoying the last days of summer rather than getting into an uncertain market."
US Housing Market
Pending
Moody's Analytics projects US housing prices to decline between 0% and -5% year-over-year, potentially reaching -10% in a severe recession.
"Moody's Analytics believes that most likely housing prices will shift anywhere between zero and negative five percent year over year to as much as negative 10 if we enter a severe recession."
US Housing Market
Pending