The FED Just Broke The Market | Dollar Crisis Explained
Published: 2022-10-14
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2022-10-14
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The US economy is predicted to grow below trend pace in the coming years, suggesting relatively flat markets for an extended period.
"the US economy would grow to below Trend Pace in this and the coming few years implying that our markets will likely remain relatively flat for quite some time"
Pending
The IMF forecasts that the worst is yet to come for the global and US economies, with reduced consumer spending expected.
"the international monetary fund warrants that the worst is yet to come for the global economy and for the United States forecasts are being lowered as people are expected to spend less money"
Pending
Inflationary pressures are expected to gradually decrease in the coming years, but interest rates will remain elevated until there is clear evidence of a return to the 2% inflation target.
"inflation pressures would gradually recede in coming years and that it would likely be appropriate to maintain that level for some time until there was compelling evidence that inflation was on course to return to the two percent objective"
Pending
The Federal Reserve will continue raising interest rates and keep them elevated for as long as necessary to prevent inflation from resurfacing.
"they're going to continue raising interest rates for as long as they need to and then they're going to leave them there for as long as it takes to make sure that inflation is not going to reappear"
Pending
There is a 97% probability that the Federal Reserve will implement a 75 basis point interest rate hike on November 2nd.
"there's currently a 97 likelihood that the Federal Reserve is going to increase interest rates by another 75 basis points in November 2nd"
Pending
Another similar rate hike in December is probable unless inflation starts to decrease.
"and that also means we're likely to see another similar rate hike in December unless inflation begins to come down"
Pending
Interest rate hikes are not expected to impact prices for at least 6-12 months, and their full economic effects will be seen in coming quarters.
"each rate hike is probably not going to have an impact on prices for at least another 6 to 12 months with even the FED buys chair saying that policy actions to date will not have their full effect on activity in coming quarters"
Pending
Inflation is not expected to return to the 2% target in the near future.
"it's also not likely that inflation is going to return back to two percent anytime soon"
Pending
Inflation is projected to return to 2% between late 2023 and early 2025, with BlackRock suggesting a more likely scenario by 2026.
"most estimates say that we could fall back to two percent inflation sometime between late 2023 and early 2025 with BlackRock estimating that it's more likely to happen by 2026"
Pending
US Treasuries are offering a risk-free 4.3% return, making them attractive compared to equity investments.
"why would you go and take the risk in equities when you could get a risk-free guaranteed 4.3 percent return by buying U.S treasuries with no work whatsoever"
Pending
The Bank of England has warned of financial strain for households, comparable to the pre-2008 crisis, due to crumbling markets.
"the bank of England is in trouble they recently came on record to warn that households will face a strain similar to The pre-2008 Crisis as their markets begin to crumble"
Pending
Higher unemployment is anticipated as companies scale back, with employees likely to be the first affected.
"expect higher unemployment to me the writing is on the wall that as companies scale back employees are going to be the first to get cut"
Pending
The speaker anticipates another 75 basis point rate hike in November.
"I'll be shocked if we don't get another 75 basis point rate hike in November"
Pending
Despite predictions of a further 20% drop in the S&P 500, the future is uncertain and it's unclear how much of this is already priced in.
"even though people are calling for the S P 500 to fall another 20 percent Anything could happen and we have no idea how much exactly is priced in"
Pending