ilmscore | THE FED JUST FLIPPED THE MARKET | Urgent Changes Explained

Predictions from this Video

Total: 8
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 8
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Inflation rate is predicted to fall below 5% year-over-year by November 2023.
"on a year-over-year basis we could be heading towards an inflation rate of less than five percent by this time next year"
Inflation Rate Forecast
Pending
Goldman Sachs forecasts a 5-10% peak-to-trough decline in home prices, with a specific prediction of a 7.6% drop.
"researchers at Goldman Sachs expect the decline of five to ten percent Peak to trough with their official forecast model predicting a 7.6 drop"
Home Prices
Pending
Moody's anticipates home prices could fall by up to 20% in Nashville and Idaho, and 10-15% in areas like Phoenix, returning to late 2020 levels.
"Moody's expect housing prices could drop by as much as 20 percent in areas like Nashville and Idaho along with 10 to 15 percent locations like Phoenix or basically all the areas that saw a massive run-up during the pandemic are likely to come down to late 2020 pricing"
Home Prices
Pending
The stock market is starting to anticipate that the Federal Reserve might halt interest rate hikes in early 2023.
"the stock market is beginning to price in the chance the FED May pause the rate hikes in early 2023"
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Hikes
Pending
Inflation is predicted to remain high in the long term, despite short-term subsiding, due to an increasing velocity of money.
"despite the Federal Reserve taking money out of the economy by raising interest rates the average dollar is now being spent more frequently leading to a higher velocity of money and because of that inflation will continue to remain high even though in the short term it could temporarily subside"
Inflation
Pending
Historically, inflation normalization after a peak takes several years, not just a few months.
"in every case inflation took several years is to normalize from the peak and it never flatlined within just a few months"
Inflation Normalization
Pending
Historically, the best stock market returns (13.6% average annually) have occurred under a Democratic president with a split Congress.
"historically the highest returns have come from a Democratic president with a House and Senate split between parties and an average annual return of 13.6 percent"
Stock Market Returns by Political Climate
Pending
A divided Congress has historically led to the highest stock market returns (17.2% average annually), more so than the president's party.
"what's had the most impact isn't so much the president but instead the importance of having a divided Congress which had the highest returns at 17.2 percent"
Stock Market Returns by Political Climate
Pending