THE FED JUST RESET THE MARKET | Recession Cancelled
Published: 2022-11-30
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2022-11-30
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Expect a larger than expected Federal Reserve rate hike within 14 days.
"the chances of a larger than expected rate hike in just 14 days from today"
Pending
The December 14th rate hike will be the last until February 2023.
"this is going to be the last rate hike through February of 2023"
Pending
Rising interest rates will lead to a decline in the stock market as investors shift to safer assets.
"as interest rates go up investors won't need to take as much risk throughout other assets like stocks real estate or even cryptocurrency and as a result the market will likely decline as people move towards the safer guaranteed Investments"
Pending
The housing market is expected to continue to be challenging for another two years.
"Bank of America's CEO believes that we're in for another two years of paying for the housing market"
Pending
The housing market is predicted to continue its slowdown throughout 2023.
"the general sentiment indicates the housing market is likely going to continue slowing down throughout 2023"
Pending
Potential oil supply cuts could lead to sustained high oil prices for an extended period.
"with the chance of a supply cut prices might continue to remain high for longer than we think"
Pending
Sustained high oil prices might cause the Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates for a longer duration.
"this could cause the Federal Reserve to keep their interest rates higher for longer"
Pending
Recent inflation data suggests that inflation pressures are not subsiding, implying interest rates may remain elevated longer than anticipated.
"the most recent inflation report provided very few signs that inflation pressures were abating implying that they'll have to probably keep rates higher for longer than expected"
Pending
A slowdown in the pace of rate hikes could signal a Federal Reserve pivot, leading to a significant boost in the stock market and other assets.
"this would be the first sign of What's called the Federal Reserve pivot where they reverse the rate hike tightening cycle that was started at the beginning of the year and that would probably lead to a huge boost throughout the stock market and thrown almost everything"
Pending
Investors are expecting a 50 basis point rate hike on December 14th (67% probability), with a 33% chance of a 75 basis point hike.
"investors they're pricing in a 67 chance of a 50 basis point rate hike in another two weeks with a 33 chance of a 75 basis point rate hike"
Pending
If inflation data comes in lower than expected, the stock market is likely to rally into early 2023.
"if inflation comes in below expectations most likely the Market's going to Rally through the beginning of 2023"
Pending
If inflation exceeds expectations, a significant stock market sell-off is probable through year-end and potentially beyond.
"if it comes in higher than expectations then probably all bets are often most likely we're going to see a pretty quick sell-off through the end of the year and maybe even a little bit longer"
Pending
Bear markets historically do not bottom out without panic selling and a VIX reading of 45 or higher.
"Morgan Stanley says that generally speaking we don't see bear Market bottoms without Panic selling similar to what was seen in 2001 and 2020. historically no bear Market has ever bottomed without a vix reading of 45 or more"
Pending
Expect continued stock market volatility until the Federal Reserve's December meeting.
"until then I would expect to see a lot more volatility"
Pending
Hopes are for interest rates to reach their peak and settle soon.
"hopefully we're going to be at the upper end of where interest rates might settle"
Pending
There's a belief that the Federal Reserve will ease its monetary policy in December.
"December is going to be the moment the FED takes the pedal off the gas"
Pending
A potential rough start to 2023 is anticipated if the Federal Reserve does not ease monetary policy.
"otherwise we could be off to a rough start in 2023"
Pending