ilmscore | A Grim Warning For All Investors

A Grim Warning For All Investors

Predictions from this Video

Total: 12
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 12
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The US credit rating was downgraded from AAA to AA+ by Fitch on August 1st.
"on August 1st the credit agency fish downgraded the U.S in terms of their future outlook going from What's called the Triple A rating to double A Plus"
US Credit Rating
Pending
Following a 2011 S&P downgrade from AAA to AA+, US stock indexes fell 5-7% and took a year to recover.
"in 2011 they faced a similar event where the s p downgraded them from Triple A to double A Plus and several other agencies issued a negative outlook as the debt crisis continued to get worse following that announcement all three stock indexes immediately fell five to seven percent in a day and it took about a year to recover"
US Credit Rating Impact
Pending
US credit card balances have surpassed $1 trillion for the first time.
"For the First Time Ever credit card balances have exceeded one trillion dollars according to the center of economic research"
Credit Card Debt
Pending
Credit card debt delinquency as a percentage of disposable income is near its lowest levels since 1990.
"if we look at this based on percentage of disposable income it's actually near the lowest levels that we've seen since 1990"
Credit Card Debt Delinquency
Pending
Adjusted for inflation, current credit card debt is roughly the same as it was in 2018, indicating it has not significantly changed over the past five years.
"remember in 2018 credit card debt just surpassed 870 billion which if you adjust that in today's numbers works out to just over one trillion dollars This means that credit card debt for the most part is pretty much unchanged over the last five years"
Credit Card Debt Inflation Adjustment
Pending
Moody's downgraded 10 banks on August 8th, citing them as being at risk.
"on Tuesday August 8th Moody's issued a downgrades signaling 10 banks that they believe were at risk including some banks that I'd never heard of like M T Bank Pinnacle Financial Bok bank and Webster Financial"
Bank Downgrades
Pending
Banks are facing profitability challenges as the cost of deposits outpaces their earnings from loans.
"Banks have been forced to pay customers more for deposits at a pace that outstrips growth and what they earn from loans"
Bank Profitability Squeeze
Pending
US corporate earnings for Q2 were better than expected, with profits falling 5.2% instead of the predicted 7%, and exceeding expectations by 7.2% on average.
"analysts believed that earnings would fall seven percent during the second quarter but instead profits only dropped by 5.2 percent and on average they topped Expectations by 7.2 percent"
US Stock Market Earnings Expectations
Pending
JPMorgan predicts that a recession will not occur.
"JP Morgan says there's not going to be a recession"
Recession Prediction (JP Morgan)
Pending
US leading economic indicators suggest a recession is imminent, and a few months prior, there was a warning that the S&P 500 could hit 3,500 by summer.
"U.S leading indicators point to a recession a few months ago they warned of the s p hitting 3 500 by summer"
Recession Prediction (US Leading Indicators)
Pending
Some analysts predict the S&P 500 will reach 4,700.
"now others say it's 4 700."
S&P 500 Target
Pending
Market recovery after a significant downturn can take a decade or more.
"there's often times up to a decade or more for the market to get back to where it used to be"
Market Recovery Time
Pending