ilmscore | URGENT: Federal Reserve STOPS Rates Hikes, Prices Fall, Major Pivot Ahead!

URGENT: Federal Reserve STOPS Rates Hikes, Prices Fall, Major Pivot Ahead!

Published: 2024-06-12
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 12
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 12
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Federal Reserve believes it will take more than one month of positive inflation data to confirm a sustained downward trend, suggesting the first interest rate cut is unlikely before September.
"the FED has suggested it will take more than a month of favorable data to confirm inflation is reliably moving lower again so there's still no reason to think that a First Rate cut will come any earlier than September"
Interest Rates
Pending
UBS predicts the S&P 500 will reach 5500 by the end of the year, driven by expected Federal Reserve rate cuts, strong profit growth, and the influence of artificial intelligence trends.
"UBS even commented that they see the S&P 500 reaching 5500 by year end amid Fed rate Cuts robust profit growth and the secular growth Trend brought on by artificial intelligence"
S&P 500
Pending
The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, which is anticipated to be supportive of stock market performance.
"they also expect that the FED is going to cover rates twice this year which should provide a healthy backdrop for stocks"
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Pending
Zillow's revised forecast predicts housing prices will increase by 6% for the remainder of 2024 and then decline by 0.9% over the following 12 months.
"Zillow has just revised her 2024 prediction and they forecast that housing prices will only rise 6% for the rest of 2024 and actually declined by .9% over the next 12 months"
Housing Prices
Pending
The housing market is predicted to shift back to a buyer-dominated environment by the year 2028.
"by 2028 we could be back in an environment where buyers are back in charge"
Housing Market
Pending
The Federal Reserve projects core inflation to decrease to 2.8% by the end of 2024, 2.3% by the end of 2025, and reach 2% by the end of 2026.
"according to their projections they forecast core inflation subsiding to 2.8% by the end of the year falling to 2.3 % by the end of 2025 and then finally leveling off at 2% by the end of 2026"
Core Inflation
Pending
The unemployment rate is projected to slightly increase to 4.2% in 2025.
"they believe that the unemployment rate is going to uptick slightly in 2025 to 4.2%"
Unemployment Rate
Pending
The Federal Reserve anticipates keeping interest rates at 5.1% for 2024 and maintains a projection of 4.1% for 2025, indicating a 'higher for longer' stance on interest rates.
"they expect to keep rates in the 5.1% range in 2024 which is significantly higher than their Mark projection of 4.6% in fact they've signaled that they expect to keep interest rates higher for longer throughout 2025 at 4.1%"
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Pending
The Federal Reserve is signaling the possibility of only one interest rate cut in 2024.
"they're signaling the potential of only one rate cut in 2024"
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Pending
The speaker believes interest rates will stay higher for a longer period than commonly anticipated.
"I firmly believe that interest rates are going to remain higher than people expect for longer than people expect"
Interest Rates
Pending
Historically, over 10-year periods, the stock market (S&P 500) has shown potential for up to 20% annualized profit, and over 20 and 30-year periods, it has consistently been profitable with minimum returns of 8% over 30 years.
"over 10 years there's a lot of variables that could either leave you with a small loss or up to a 20% annualized profit over 20 years everything has so far been profitable with the worst ever return happening after the Great Depression and after 30 years the market historically hasn't returned less than 8%"
Stock Market Returns
Pending
The speaker expects to return to posting content in the first week of July.
"Most likely I'll be back in the first week of July"
Return to Channel
Pending