URGENT: Federal Reserve Cancels Rate Cut, Prices Fall, Tariffs Coming!
Published: 2025-01-29
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-01-29
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Experts predict the AI bubble may be nearing its end.
"experts are now warning that the AI bubble could soon be over"
Pending
Proposed to make all 2017 tax cuts permanent.
"all the 2017 tax cuts will be made permanent"
Pending
Proposal to reduce the corporate income tax rate from 20% to 15%.
"Trump is aiming to lower the corporate income tax rate from 20% where it is now down to 15%"
Pending
Proposed tariffs on imports are expected to encourage domestic production.
"there are proposed tariffs on Imports"
Pending
Overtime pay and tips may become exempt from federal tax.
"overtime paying tips would be exempt from federal tax"
Pending
Potential proposal to eliminate taxes on all Social Security income.
"he could propose to end tax on all social Security income"
Pending
Permanent estate tax cuts proposed, with a married couple potentially having a $28 million inheritance exclusion.
"estate tax cuts would be made permanent which means a married couple would have up to $28 million of exclusion on inheritances"
Pending
Proposal to raise or eliminate the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction cap.
"raising or ending the salt cap deduction"
Pending
Elimination of clean energy tax credits, including those for EVs and Teslas.
"clean energy tax cuts would be eliminated and no longer providing a financial bonus for buying EVs or Teslas"
Pending
Goldman Sachs projects the S&P 500 to reach 6500 by year-end, a 10% increase.
"Goldman Sachs projects the S&P 500 to end this year at 6500 which would be a 10% increase at today's levels"
Pending
Oppenheimer predicts the stock market could rise an additional 20% by the end of December.
"Oppenheimer came in with the most bullish case believing the market could rise another 20% by the end of December"
Pending
Analysts view US stock growth as a sign of a new tech and AI era with sustainable valuations and strong future earnings.
"some analysts see US Stocks impressive growth as evidence of a new era in Tekken AI with sustainable valuations and strong future earnings growth to support a continued rally"
Pending
Historically, after two consecutive years of 20%+ S&P 500 rallies, the index has risen 67% of the time in the following year with an average return of 7%.
"when the S&P 500 rallies 20% or more 2 years in a row as it did in 2023 and 24 the index goes up the following year 67% of the time and the average third-year return is 7%"
Pending
The housing market is predicted to see another 3.8% increase over the next 12 months.
"their answer is really more of the same with another 3.8% increase over the next 12 months"
Pending
Zillow forecasts the housing market to increase by an average of 2.6% this year, aligning with the inflation rate.
"they think the housing Market's going to see an average increase of 2.6% this year which is basically the rate of inflation"
Pending
Buyers are expected to gain leverage in the housing market as more inventory becomes available.
"buyers will begin to have the upper hand is more inv gets listed on the market"
Pending
Mortgage rates are predicted to remain volatile and at higher levels.
"mortgage rates will remain volatile but on the high side"
Pending
More buyers are expected to move to the Southwest due to better affordability.
"more buyers are going to relocate to the Southwest where affordability is uh I guess more affordable anyway"
Pending
Smaller homes are likely to see increased demand due to their lower relative cost compared to larger homes.
"smaller homes might start to see more demand as they become cheaper when you compare them to larger homes"
Pending
Rents are anticipated to rise as the boom in multifamily construction concludes.
"rents May finally begin to creep back up as the multif family construction boom is pretty much over"
Pending
Over the next 5 years, housing prices are expected to remain elevated with high mortgage rates, unless a major recession occurs.
"over the next 5 years most experts seem to think that we're probably just going to get more of this the same with elevated mortgage rates and high prices unless of course we see a massive recession"
Pending
A persistent shortage of single-family home inventory is expected due to the slow recovery since the 2007 financial crisis, potentially preventing a return to previous inventory levels.
"single family home construction never really recovered after the 2007 great financial crisis so there's probably going to be a shortage of inventory for quite some time and we may never get back to the levels that we saw about 20 years ago"
Pending
From now until 2030, housing prices are predicted to increase slightly above the rate of inflation, continuing a century-long trend.
"from now until 2030 it's predicted that housing prices are simply going to rise just beyond the rate of inflation as they have been over the last century"
Pending
Jerome Powell indicated a pause on interest rate cuts for early 2025, with a likely scenario of only 25 basis point cuts by year-end.
"Jerome Powell signaled that they intend to pause any interest rate cuts for the beginning of 2025 and the most likely scenario so far is that we just get to 25 basis point rate cuts by the end of the year and that's it"
Pending
The Federal Reserve sees little risk in maintaining elevated interest rates and lowering them only if the economy requires a boost.
"there's very little risk in keeping interest rates somewhat elevated where they are right now and then lowering them if needed in the event our economy needs a bit of a boost"
Pending
Elevated inflation is expected to lead to persistently high interest rates.
"if inflation remains elevated you know what else remains elevated interest rates"
Pending
Expect one or two small interest rate cuts in 2025, unless an unforeseen 'black swan' event occurs.
"most likely we're just going to get one or two small rate Cuts in 2025 and that's it pending a absurd Black Swan event that nobody sees coming"
Pending
A significant risk to the stock market is a potential trade war triggered by aggressive tariff negotiations, leading to unsustainable price spikes and a sell-off.
"the biggest risk is simply what happens if everything goes wrong like to me the biggest what if just has to do with tariffs I mean there is a situation in which Trump negotiates too hard other countries retaliate we find ourselves in a trade War prices Spike to unsustainable levels and the stock market begins to sell off"
Pending
Historically, markets have been profitable over 20-year terms and have not returned less than 8% annually over 30-year terms.
"historically over a 20-year term everything so far has been profitable and over a 30-year term the market has not returned less than 8% a year"
Pending
Since the 1950s, the frequency of recessions and bear markets has decreased.
"since the 1950s we have spent less and less time in a recession or a bare market"
Pending