It Started: How To Get Rich In The 2025 Market Reversal
Published: 2025-02-03
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Published: 2025-02-03
Status:
Available
|
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Several major financial institutions (Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs, Oppenheimer) predict the S&P 500 will reach 6500 by the end of 2025, with Oppenheimer forecasting a potential 20% rise.
"Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan and golden Sachs believe the S&P 500 will end the year at 6500 and Oppenheimer came in with one of the most bullish cases believing the market could rise another 20% by the end of December"
Pending
Various financial firms have price predictions for Bitcoin by the end of 2025: CoinShares ($80k-$150k), Galaxy Digital ($185k), Bit Mining & Maple Finance ($200k), and Nexo ($250k).
"Coin shares believes that the price is going to end 2025 hovering around $ 80 to $150,000 Galaxy digital thinks $185,000 is possible bit Mining and maple Finance both see $200,000 in the picture and the most bullish comes from Nexo with a mouth watering price of $250,000"
Pending
The speaker is long-term bullish on Bitcoin, citing the ease of access and diversification provided by ETFs and anticipating increased adoption and price appreciation.
"longterm I am bullish for Bitcoin I do think the ETFs make it incredibly easy to buy or sell without worrying about self- custody and I have a feeling over time more people are going to begin diversifying into it causing the price to go higher"
Pending
UBS identifies six out of seven conditions met for a stock market bubble, indicating a 35% probability of a current bubble. These conditions include prolonged stock outperformance, slowing earnings growth, lack of diversification, time since the last bubble, 'this time is different' sentiment, and high retail participation, with loose monetary policy being the only missing factor.
"UBS says that as of right now six out of seven conditions are currently met for a stock market bubble. This includes stocks outperforming bonds over a 10-year period by at least 5%, earnings growth is slowing down, lack of diversification within the S&P 500, 25 years since the last bubble, this time is different, retail participation and finally the only one we don't have loose monetary policy which according to them means that we have a 35% probability of currently being in a bubble"
Pending
Realtor.com estimates a deficit of 2.2 to 7.2 million homes in the US, necessitating a significant increase in home construction to address the shortage.
"according to realtor.com the US is facing a deficit between 2 A2 and 7.2 million homes so right off the bat home construction would have to increase by a lot to even begin to make a difference"
Pending
A proposed solution to housing affordability is to allow homeowners to transfer their existing mortgage loans and interest rates to a new property, which would help unstick sellers and encourage movement.
"make it possible to take your existing loan and your interest rate with you to the next house I don't get how this is such an impossible concept like if you have an existing 3% interest rate with a $500,000 balance you should be able to take that with you and apply it towards the next house that you purchase and basically just keep your existing loan"
Pending
Another proposed solution for housing affordability is to allow homeowners to transfer their tax basis with them when moving nearby, as current property tax structures tied to original purchase prices discourage relocation due to significantly higher potential taxes.
"if you're moving nearby you should be able to take the tax basis with you the fact is homeowners are sitting on record amounts of equity and when their property tax basis is tied to their original purchase price it makes it very expensive to pick up and leave"
Pending
Reducing capital gains taxes on the sale of a primary residence is suggested as a measure to encourage homeowners who have owned their properties for a long time to sell, as current tax rates (up to 37%) can be a significant deterrent.
"reduce capital gains taxes when you sell a primary residence I know this one might be unpopular but it's true you have so many people out there who have owned their home for decades and they don't want to sell it because if they did up to 37% could be taken away by state and federal taxes"
Pending
It is proposed that the capital gains exclusion for primary residence sales should be adjusted for inflation. Currently capped at $250k (single) / $500k (married) since 1997, inflation-adjusted values could allow homeowners to keep approximately $1 million tax-free.
"track the capital gains exclusion to inflation see for those una aware back in 1997 a law was passed that allowed homeowners to keep up to $250,000 worth of profit if you're single or500 ,000 worth a profit if you're married completely taxfree on a primary residence however back then the median price of a home was only $124,000 versus today at $460,000 so if these values were adjusted accordingly to inflation homeowners today could see about a million dollars completely taxfree"
Pending
Incentivizing home builders through tax credits or subsidized interest rates is suggested as a way to increase the development of more housing units.
"give tax credits to builders I promise if you eliminated or reduced taxes on profits derived from property development Builders would eagerly develop anything they can alternatively if you were to give Builders subsidized interest rates from the government as an incentive to build more they will build a lot more"
Pending
For the housing market in the short term, it's advised to only buy a home if you plan to keep it for at least 10 years and can afford it; otherwise, renting is recommended as a potentially cheaper option.
"my advice is to only buy a home that you intend on keeping for at least 10 years and can reasonably afford based on your Sal otherwise in the short term renting seems to be the better option"
Pending
A personal real estate investment involves building a 700 sq ft, 2-bedroom unit for $200,000, projected to generate $2,000-$2,400 per month, resulting in a 10-12% return on investment.
"I found a developer to build out a two-bedroom 700t unit for about $200,000 I could safely net anywhere from $ 2,000 to $2400 every single month and all of a sudden I'm making a 10 to 12% return on my money with a property that I already own"
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The SEC overturned a previous ruling on January 24th, allowing banks to hold digital assets on their balance sheets without classifying them as liabilities.
"as if January 24th the SEC overturned the previous ruling now allowing Banks to custody digital assets without calling it a liability"
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The speaker predicts that more established banks will eventually begin to adopt and embrace cryptocurrencies.
"my guess is that eventually more established banks will begin to embrace it"
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There are rumors of the US potentially creating a digital asset stockpile or reserve for Bitcoin, which could significantly enhance its perceived value.
"the United States creating a digital stock pile or reserve for Bitcoin which obviously would solidify it as a seriously value-driven asset"
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The speaker's 2025 investment blueprint involves consistent monthly investments diversified into 75% S&P 500, 15% International Equities, and 10% Bitcoin ETF, with a long-term holding strategy of 20-30 years.
"I'm setting aside a specific amount of money every single month to invest and I'm sticking with it. This is Diversified across 75% S&P 500 15% International equities and then 10% within a Bitcoin ETF. I don't intend on selling anything for probably the next 20 to 30 years"
Pending