ilmscore | BREAKING: Federal Reserve Cancels 2025 Rate Cuts - Massive Pivot Ahead!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 10
Correct: 4
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 3
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Federal Reserve anticipates the earliest possible interest rate cut will be in September.
"The Federal Reserve decided to once again pause interest rate cuts for the foreseeable future with the expectation that we're now going to see our first rate cut occur in September at the very soonest."
US Interest Rates
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve expects inflation to return to the 2% target after 2027.
"In this case, they believe that inflation will eventually return to their 2% target, but not until after 2027."
US Interest Rates
Pending
The Federal Reserve projects the federal funds rate to be 3.4% in 2027.
"And just like we expected, they anticipate higher interest rates for longer with an estimated federal funds rate of 3.4% in 2027."
US Interest Rates
Pending
The Federal Reserve anticipates one or two rate cuts this year and potentially one next year due to expected higher inflation and slower growth.
"Basically, this means that they expect slightly higher inflation, slightly slower growth, and that's going to result in only one or two rate cuts this year with maybe only one next year."
US Interest Rates
Pending
S&P 500 companies are issuing negative guidance at a rate not seen since the 2008 financial crisis, suggesting potential future market downturns.
"First, a record high 38% of S&P 500 companies gave negative guidance for future quarters, while only 15% issued positive guidance, which is the widest negative to positive guidance that we have seen since the 2008 financial crisis."
Stock Market
Correct
Sustained high tariffs could trigger a panic sell-off in the stock market.
"But if higher than usual tariffs were to stick, that could lead to a panic sell-off and the stock market to fall even further"
Stock Market
Incorrect
Historically, a 20% market gain in two months has been followed by an average of 30% returns in the subsequent 12 months.
"And as he points out, so far, every time the market has gained 20% in two months, the following 12-month returns have always been up by an average of 30%."
Stock Market
Incorrect
A 25 basis point interest rate cut is predicted for this year, contingent on economic conditions.
"I tend to believe that we'll likely see a 25 basis point rate cut at some point this year if conditions permit."
US Interest Rates
Correct
Ray Dalio suggests the US has three options to address its unsustainable debt path: increase taxes, cut spending, or lower interest rates to manage debt interest payments.
"the United States is on an unsustainable path and there are only three options to fix it. One would be to increase tax revenue. Two would be to cut government spending and three would be to lower interest rates so that interest payments on the national debt don't balloon out of control."
US National Debt
Correct
The speaker holds 10% of their investment portfolio in a Bitcoin ETF.
"Like in my case, I have about 30% of my money in real estate, 35% in stocks spread 8020 between the USA and international, 10% in a Bitcoin ETF,"
Bitcoin
Correct