ilmscore | We Just Flipped - Recession Warning

We Just Flipped - Recession Warning

Published: 2022-04-01
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 3
Correct: 0
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 3
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
An inverted yield curve has historically predicted recessions within 6 to 18 months. A recession could occur as early as October 2022 or as late as October 2023.
"in the past the inverted yield curve has accurately predicted five of the last six recessions dating back to 1978 and whenever we got this yield to invert it takes on average between 6 to 18 months for us to go into a recession which means we could be in one as early as october this year or as late as october next year"
Recession
Pending
The inverted yield curve has a strong track record of predicting recessions, with the lag time being between 6 to 18 months. Based on this, a recession is expected between October 2022 and October 2023.
"since 1978 this yield curve has accurately predicted six of the last seven recessions which don't always happen right away they happen anywhere between six to 18 months after the yield curve inverts which means that either october this year or october next year is when we're technically due for one"
Recession
Pending
It might be advisable to wait until May 3rd-4th to buy bonds, as the Federal Reserve's rate decisions could lead to lower bond prices and higher rates, making them cheaper to acquire with a better passive income potential.
"i would probably wait until may 3rd and may 4th to see where the fed was going to take the rates maybe they'll increase by half a percent maybe more maybe less but at that point they should be selling off their bonds and when they do the price of those bonds will fall and their rates will start to go up which means it might be worth it to wait for as long as possible to buy some cheaper bonds"
US Treasury Bonds
Pending