ilmscore | China Just Broke The Global Economy – WTF Happened To Silver?!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 13
Correct: 3
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 9
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
China's restriction of silver supply, controlling 60-70% of global production, will cause significant economic disruption and price increases due to high industrial demand and consumption exceeding replacement.
"And when they control roughly 60 to 70% of global supply, that single decision is about to throw a major wrench throughout our entire economy. After all, what most people don't realize is that silver isn't just an investment. It's a critical resource used throughout cars, batteries, electronics, solar, and almost every item that we use on a day-to-day basis. Not to mention, the world is already consuming more silver than can be replaced. So, with China's decision just a few days away, that price increase is expected to get a lot worse."
XAG
Pending
Silver's price movements are expected to become extremely volatile, following its significant increase.
"Because with silver already up 150% this year, the next move isn't going to be gradual. It's going to be vicious."
XAG
Correct
A significant silver shortage (estimated 100-250 million ounces), as warned by Elon Musk, will force electronics manufacturers to increase prices.
"Electronics manufacturers will be soon forced to raise prices as their cost to make each item goes higher and even Elon Musk warned that the situation was not good with an estimated supply shortage of 100 to 250 million ounces."
XAG
Pending
A high paper-to-physical silver ratio (378:1) in ETFs could trigger a short squeeze, forcing banks to buy physical silver at any price.
"However, some estimates suggests that the papertoysical silver ratio is 378 to1, meaning there is only 1 ounce of physical silver for 378 shares of the ETF, a number that would force banks to buy up whatever they could at whatever price they needed to just because they're obligated to hold the underlying asset."
XAG
Incorrect
China's new export licensing regime for silver, effective January 1st, will severely restrict global supply, allowing Beijing to prioritize domestic needs and potentially cut off exports entirely.
"Beginning January 1st, China will implement a brand new, highly restrictive export licensing regime for silver. Essentially, the barriers are so high that to qualify, a company must agree to produce 80 metric tons of silver annually. Only large state approved or heavily audited producers will be granted licenses. And since these are all done on a case-byase basis, Beijing could simply cut off the global supply of silver if they want to prioritize their own needs."
XAG
Pending
Silver's critical role in solar panels, EVs, and AI processing power gives China leverage through its export controls, allowing them to prioritize domestic production and gain strategic advantage.
"Keep in mind that China manufactures over 80% of the world's solar panels and a massive share of EVs, of which heavily rely on silver. As a result of that, if China is able to restrict their own exports, they'd be able to give priority to their own manufacturers at lower local prices and also push out the rest of the world. They'd also be able to gain leverage on a very strategic and very important asset of which could potentially be used in future negotiations. Just saying, especially when AI processing power is incredibly reliant on silver."
XAG
Pending
57% of retail investors anticipate silver will trade above $100 per ounce.
"Well, 57% of retail investors expect silver to trade above $100 an ounce."
XAG
Pending
2026 is expected to be a significant year for silver, potentially with different market dynamics than observed previously.
"2026, however, is likely going to be another story entirely."
XAG
Pending
Silver is now recognized as a critical industrial bottleneck, with demand from electrification, EVs, AI, and energy creating a price floor based on genuine industrial needs rather than speculative hype.
"it's become extremely clear that silver's become much more than just a precious metals trade, but instead a strategic industrial bottleneck. When all of this demand is driven by electrification, EVs, AI infrastructure, and energy, that changes how prices behave over time. It just creates this new floor that's driven by actual demand and not so much hype."
XAG
Correct
The long-term outlook for silver (5-10 years) is contingent on its continued critical role in the economy, and if it maintains this role, expect significant price volatility.
"So, if you're looking at silver prices, the question isn't will it be higher next month, but rather will silver continue to be a critical part of our economy 5 to 10 years from now? If the answer to that is yes, then you better brace for a lot of volatility."
XAG
Pending
Expect a US dollar and sovereign debt crisis in the upcoming year (2026).
"I think what we may see next year is a US dollar and sovereign debt crisis."
US Dollar and Sovereign Debt
Pending
Gold and silver are predicted to reach all-time highs due to increasing geopolitical tensions.
"Gold and silver jumping to all-time highs as escalating geopolitical tensions boost the historic rally."
Gold and Silver Prices
Correct
The predicted sovereign debt and currency crisis will be significantly more severe than the 2008 financial crisis.
"Sovereign debt and currency crisis will make the 2008 financials crisis look like a Sunday school picnic."
Economic Impact of Sovereign Debt Crisis
Pending