ilmscore | Will The Housing Market Finally Crash in 2026? (My Prediction)

Will The Housing Market Finally Crash in 2026? (My Prediction)

Published: 2025-12-29
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 7
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 5
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The speaker predicts that there will not be a housing market crash in 2026 and the unaffordability crisis will continue.
"I don't expect the housing market crash for 2026. I expect this unaffordability crisis, unfortunately, to persist."
Housing Market Prediction
Pending
Multiple institutions (Realtor.com, NAR, Fannie Mae, Redfin) predict mortgage interest rates to remain rangebound in 2026, with specific predictions ranging from 5.9% to 6.3%.
"Realtor.com says they're predicting 6.3%. National Association of Realtors, NAR says 6.0%. Fanny May says 5.9%. Red Fin says 6.3%. Essentially, they're expecting mortgage interest rates to stay rangebound for 2026."
Mortgage Interest Rates
Pending
The National Association of Realtors predicts a housing market comeback with home prices increasing by 4% in the upcoming year (2026).
"The National Association of Realtors, is predicting a housing market comeback. They're actually predicting that home prices are going to go up by 4% next year."
Housing Market Comeback
Pending
The speaker believes the Federal Reserve committee will cut interest rates more aggressively with the new Fed chair starting in May.
"it is my belief that with the new Fed chair coming in May, the committee is going to cut interest rates even more aggressively."
Federal Reserve Policy
Pending
The Federal Reserve resumed printing money on December 12th at a rate of $40 billion per month.
"the Federal Reserve also restarted the money printing on December 12th. So, they're printing at a rate of $40 billion a month."
Federal Reserve Money Printing
Incorrect
Increased money printing by the Federal Reserve is expected to cause upward price pressure on food, utilities, and housing.
"If they're going to print all that money, what's going to happen? I mean, the price of food, the price of utilities, the price of housing, it's all going to experience upward pressure."
Impact of Money Printing
Correct
Due to ongoing money printing, the speaker predicts continued long-term appreciation in stocks, home prices, food, and utilities.
"This is why stocks keep going up in the long run. This is why home prices just keep going up in the long run. This is why food prices, utilities, they just keep going up in the long run."
Home Price Appreciation
Pending
Given the predicted setup for 2026 involving interest rate cuts, money printing, and increasing money supply, the speaker questions the likelihood of a housing market crash.
"So, you're telling me that they're cutting interest rates, they're printing money and money supply is at a record high and going higher. If that's going to be the setup for 2026, then why would there be a housing market crash?"
Housing Market Crash
Pending