ilmscore | Tax Refund Surge Ahead — These People Will Get the Biggest Refunds!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 3
Prediction
Topic
Status
A surge in tax refunds is expected for the 2025 tax year, to be seen in early 2026, due to changes from President Trump's bill.
"So, in today's video, I'm going to explain to you what happens. Okay, let's begin here. President Trump's one big beautiful bill that passed in July changes our taxes in a massive way for a lot of people. So, we're talking about this is going to be for 2025, the tax refund that you're going to see on your tax filing in early 2026. So, just a few months away."
Tax Refunds
Pending
JP Morgan forecasts the average tax refund to be $3,743 for the upcoming filing season, an increase of $500 or 15% from the previous year.
"Now, according to JP Morgan's forecast, they expect that the average tax refund is going to be $3,743 in this upcoming tax filing season, which is about $500 more than last year or 15% higher."
Average Tax Refund
Correct
Larger tax refunds are predicted to boost GDP by an additional 0.5% in Q1 2026.
"Now, regarding the economic impact of these larger tax refunds, it is expected to spur economic activity and boost GDP by an extra 0.5% in Q1 of 2026."
Economic Growth
Pending
Individuals can expect larger paychecks in 2026 compared to 2025 due to new tax rules lowering taxes, which will be reflected in payroll systems.
"You can expect larger paychecks in 2026, so next year compared to this year in 2025. Or in other words, your take-home pay is going to increase next year because these new tax rules are going to lower your taxes and the IRS tax tables and payroll systems, they're going to reflect that accordingly and appropriately next year in your paycheck calculations."
Take-home Pay
Correct
Tax refunds in 2027 are expected to be smaller than those in 2026.
"But that means that the following tax filing season, so the one that you're going to file in 2027, you should expect the smaller tax refunds in 2027 compared to 2026."
Tax Refunds in 2027
Pending