Housing Market 2025 — Inventory Surges, Buyers Still Can’t Afford Homes
Published: 2025-08-14
Status:
Analyzed
Published: 2025-08-14
Status:
Analyzed
Predictions from this Video
Incorrect: 4
Prediction
Topic
Status
Home prices to be up 4.1% by the end of 2025 (Fanny Mae prediction).
"Fanny May predicts that we'll end this year with home prices being up 4.1%. So that's 2025 in total from the start of the year to the end of the year."
Incorrect
Home prices to be up 1.3% by the end of 2025 (Mortgage Bankers Association prediction).
"The Mortgage Bankers Association predicts that we're going to end the year with home prices up 1.3%."
Correct
Home prices to be up 3% by the end of 2025 (National Association of Realtors prediction).
"The National Association of Realtors predicts that we're going to end the year with home prices being up by 3%."
Incorrect
Home prices to be up 2% in 2026 (Fanny Mae prediction).
"Fanny May predicts that home prices are going to go up by 2%."
Pending
Home prices to be up 0.3% in 2026 (Mortgage Bankers Association prediction).
"Mortgage Bankers Association says up by 0.3%. So pretty much flat."
Pending
Home prices to be up 4% in 2026 (National Association of Realtors prediction).
"National Association of Realtor says up 4%."
Pending
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates at the September 17th meeting (market expectation).
"There is a 100% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at that meeting."
Correct
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% in September (market expectation, as of yesterday).
"There's a 93.3% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25%. 25% in September."
Correct
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.5% in September (market expectation, as of yesterday).
"There's also a 6.7% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.5% in September."
Incorrect
Federal Reserve to not cut interest rates by 0.5% in September (market expectation, as of this morning).
"The odds of a 0.5% interest rate cut in September have gone to 0%."
Correct
Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 0.25% in September (market expectation, as of this morning).
"The odds of a 0.25% rate cut have gone to 92.5%."
Correct
Federal Reserve to not cut interest rates in September (market expectation, as of this morning).
"The odds that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in September have gone to 7.5%."
Incorrect
Mortgage interest rates will not go down to 3% in 2026.
"I don't expect mortgage interest rates to go down to 3% again next year."
Correct
Mortgage interest rates may not decrease or may increase in 2026.
"There is a possibility that mortgage interest rates do not go down or they even go up in 2026."
Correct
Average mortgage interest rates could increase by 1% if Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac go private (analyst prediction).
"Some analysts are saying that average mortgage interest rates could go up by 1% in in this type of event."
Pending