CPI Inflation Report: Tariff Inflation is Just Beginning

Published: 2025-07-15
Status: Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 4
Correct: 3
Incorrect: 1
Pending: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Tariffs will add inflationary pressure for the next few months (e.g., Q3/Q4 2025).
"if it continues to develop as expected then tariffs will be adding inflationary pressure for a few months."
Inflation
Correct
Reciprocal tariffs will begin on August 1st, 2025, and will be significant.
"the reciprocal tariffs are going to begin on August 1st and these are going to be huge."
Tariffs
Correct
If the 30-year Treasury bond yield spikes again, President Trump will be forced to postpone or cancel tariffs.
"if we see this action happen again in the bond market then Trump is either going to have to postpone the tariffs or just call them off again."
Tariffs
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its July 30th, 2025 meeting.
"at the July meeting the Federal Reserve they're not going to cut interest rates and it's clearly reflected in the odds."
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Correct