ilmscore | Why I’m Investing in Gold: The Dollar Can’t Be Trusted

Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 8
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 3
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
Gold price is predicted to reach $7,140 per troy ounce in 10 years, assuming an 8% annual inflation rate.
"I think that the best that I can give you is an educated guess. Okay? So I understand that the CPI inflation reports according to the US government say that inflation runs at about 2 to 3% a year. I think most people believe that that is a wild fairy tale. Anyways, let's assume that inflation runs at 8% a year for the next decade. Then here's the math under that scenario. Then in 10 years, gold would go from the currents $3,400 a troy ounce to 7,140."
Gold Price Prediction
Pending
Due to natural volatility, gold's price could reach over $10,000 in 10 years, exceeding the 8% inflation-tracked prediction.
"And that would be if gold tracked 8% inflation exactly. So in this scenario, you know, natural volatility could allow it to go for gold to go up to 10,000s, right? Just based off the fluctuations."
Gold Price Volatility
Pending
95% of central banks surveyed expect global gold reserves to increase in the next 12 months, with 43% planning to increase their own holdings.
"And according to their most recent survey, 95% of central bank respondents expect global gold reserves to rise over the next 12 months. A record 43% said that they plan to increase their own holdings during that time."
Central Bank Gold Reserves
Correct
The trend of de-dollarization is expected to continue, with gold becoming a more favored safe-haven asset than the US dollar.
"my honest belief is that this trend of ddollarization is going to continue because gold is going to be considered a more more of a safe haven asset than the US dollar."
Dollarization Trend
Correct
The US government is predicted to learn fiscal responsibility only after an economic meltdown.
"When do I believe that the US government's going to learn how to balance their budgets? I believe that it's going to be after the economic meltdown."
US Government Fiscal Responsibility
Pending
The speaker views gold primarily as a tool for preserving wealth against inflation, rather than a means to get rich.
"So, I'm not buying gold to try to get rich. I'm buying gold to preserve my wealth from inflation."
Gold as Store of Value
Correct
While gold's favorability among central banks has fluctuated, the current trend suggests it is gaining favor, and this trend may continue.
"So, you can make the arguments that gold gained ground and then it retreated before and that you can argue that gold is gaining favor right now. But the same thing could happen again, right? Gold falls out of favor by the central banks. But then again, you can also make the arguments that gold is gaining favor and the trend is just going to continue."
Gold vs. US Dollar
Correct
Central banks significantly increased gold purchases in 2022, 2023, and 2024, a trend observed after the GFC.
"And I would say that's no surprise after the GFC. But in 2022, 23, and 24, central banks have significantly increased their gold purchasing."
Gold as Safe Haven
Correct
Gold's price increase is attributed to the devaluation of the US dollar caused by money printing, rather than gold itself appreciating in value.
"The more they print, the more gold's going to go up. So, you must realize that gold is not going up in value. It's the dollar that's losing value and that pushes up the price of gold denominated in US dollars."
Gold Price Appreciation
Correct
Over the last 25 years, central banks and governments have reduced their percentage of US dollar holdings, with other currencies gaining prominence while the euro and gold have remained relatively stable.
"For the past two and a half decades, central banks and governments want to hold fewer dollars percentage-wise. So, if you see if you really see what's happening during this time frame, the euro and gold have actually not seen much change. It's the other currencies that have been gaining."
US Dollar Reserve Asset Trend
Correct
For investors interested in gold on the stock market, it is advised to buy gold ETFs like GLD rather than gold mining companies.
"If you want to buy gold on the stock market, just buy gold like GLD. Don't try to buy gold mining companies."
Gold Mining Stocks
Correct