ilmscore | CPI Inflation Report: Fed Cutting Rates, Money Printing Next!

CPI Inflation Report: Fed Cutting Rates, Money Printing Next!

Published: 2025-10-24
Status: Available | Analyzed

Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 1
Incorrect: 4
Pending: 6
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates by 0.25% at their next meeting on October 29th.
"The Federal Reserve is still most likely going to cut interest rates at their next meeting next week on October 29th."
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve may end its monetary tightening cycle as early as the current month, potentially in conjunction with next week's meeting.
"The tightening cycle is going to end sooner than they thought. They're saying that the Federal Reserve may end the tightening cycle this month and next week's meeting."
Federal Reserve Policy
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is predicted to engage in significant money printing in 2026.
"They're going to print money like crazy most likely in 2026."
Federal Reserve Money Printing
Pending
There is a 96.3% chance the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 0.25% at the December meeting, following a likely cut in the next meeting.
"It's pretty much a given that the Federal Reserve is going to cut interest rates by a quarter point next week, right? But how about the meeting in December? Like are they going to cut interest rates again at that meeting? ... now 96.3%."
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Incorrect
The speaker estimates the real inflation rate to be double what the government officially reports.
"if you're going to ask me personally what I think the real rate of inflation is, I would say it's around double that, whatever the government's reporting."
Inflation Rate
Pending
The Federal Reserve predicts it will take another 18 to 24 months to bring inflation down to their 2% target.
"the Federal Reserve keeps on saying that their goal is to get inflation down to a rate of 2%. And they keep on saying that they're going to get it down to 2%, but it's going to be another 18 to 24 months before they could get before they could get it down there."
Inflation Rate Timeline
Pending
Fed Governor Stefan Moran estimates that 2% headline PCE inflation will be reached in approximately a year and a half from the interview date (October 15th, 2025).
"So uh you know to to 2% headline measured PC ... I think probably probably uh you know let's say uh you know a year and a half from now or so if I remember correctly where my where my where my dots were."
Inflation Rate Timeline
Pending
The Federal Reserve's repeated failure to meet its 2% inflation target within projected two-year timeframes raises questions about its credibility.
"every year since 2015, the SCP has forecast that you would hit your target two years later. And this year, uh, this SCP says you're going to hit your target two years later. Uh, 2% does not seem to be in sight. Does that suggest that the 2% target is not really achievable? And does this present any credibility problems for you in telling people that that's what you're going to do if you can never reach it?"
Federal Reserve Credibility
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates and cease monetary tightening is considered inflationary due to the resulting easier monetary policy.
"The Federal Reserve is cutting interest rates, right? And of course, that's inflationary because it's bringing about an easier monetary policy. They're stopping the money tightening any day now."
Federal Reserve Policy
Correct
The speaker expects the Federal Reserve to print a significant amount of money in 2026.
"And they're going to the Federal Reserve is going to print a massive amount of money. My expectation is that they're going to do that in 2026."
Federal Reserve Money Printing
Pending
The speaker believes the current inflation situation is likely to deteriorate further.
"So my assessment is that the inflation situation is just going to get worse from here."
Inflation Rate
Pending