ilmscore | The Fed Just Confirmed the Money Printing Pivot!

Predictions from this Video

Total: 5
Correct: 4
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 1
Prediction
Topic
Status
The Federal Reserve is predicted to print trillions of dollars in 2026, leading to increased inflation.
"My estimation is that it's going to be trillions of dollars in not so far future, probably 2026. So get ready for more inflation."
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
Pending
The Federal Reserve will decide in their December meeting whether to cut interest rates again.
"And at that meeting in December, they're going to decide whether to cut interest rates again or not."
Federal Reserve Interest Rates
Correct
Tariffs are expected to cause a moderate, one-time increase in inflation, likely into the spring, adding a tenth of a percent or so, with the total inflation potentially reaching around 2.8% plus a few more tenths.
"So the the basic expectation is that there will be some additional increase inflation because it takes a while for tariffs to work their way through the through the production chain and finally get to consumers. And we see this now from the from the tariffs that were put in place now many months ago. We see those effects. But if you put tariffs in effect and they've been coming into effect consistently in, you know, February, March, April, May, and that's all happening. So that'll continue to happen for some time, probably into the spring. These are not big increases, though. These are a tenth or so on inflation. They may be big increases on a particular product that's been tariffed. But overall, these are fairly modest. I think, you know, some projections go we're 2.8% inflation. You might get two or three more tents or four more tents maybe. But then as as all the tariffs are in, they stop generating inflation. You've had a one-time price increase."
Tariff Inflation
Correct
Starting in December, the Federal Reserve will enter a new phase of normalization by holding its balance sheet steady for a period, while reserve balances decrease and other liabilities like currency increase.
"As a share of nominal GDP, our balance sheet has fallen from 35% to about 21%. In December, we'll enter the next phase of our normalization plans by holding the size of our balance sheet steady for a time while reserve balances continue to move gradually lower as other non-reserve liabilities such as currency keep growing."
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy
Correct
It will take time for the lingering effects of past inflation to subside and for consumers to feel better as real incomes rise.
"It'll take some time for that effect to wear off as real incomes rise it will feel better over time but that's going to take time"
Consumer Inflation Impact
Correct