ilmscore | The Plan to Turn Americans into Permanent Renters (50 Year Mortgage)

Predictions from this Video

Total: 11
Correct: 6
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 5
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Topic
Status
The FHFA is actively developing a proposal to lengthen the standard mortgage term from 30 to 50 years.
"The Federal Housing Finance Agency, the FHFA, under Director Bill PT is working on a proposal to extend the standard mortgage from 30 years to 50 years."
50-year mortgage proposal
Pending
FHFA Director Bill PT views the 50-year mortgage proposal as a significant, transformative policy.
"And PT even said, 'We are indeed working on the 50-year mortgage, a complete gamecher.'"
50-year mortgage proposal
Correct
Donald Trump is in favor of the 50-year mortgage, believing it will reduce monthly payments and improve housing affordability.
"And President Trump supports the idea, and the pitch is very simple. It will lower monthly payments and make housing feel more affordable."
50-year mortgage proposal support
Pending
A 50-year mortgage on a $348,000 loan at 6% interest will result in paying $751,113 in interest.
"Now, if you go with the 50-year mortgage, I mean, look at the interest that you're going to pay. You're going to pay $751,113."
Interest paid on 50-year mortgage
Pending
After 30 years of payments on a 50-year mortgage, a borrower will still owe $386,000 on their loan.
"after 30 years of payments, a 50-year borrower was still owed $386,000."
Equity building with 50-year mortgage
Pending
The 50-year mortgage, by lowering monthly payments and increasing buyer qualification, is predicted to drive up home prices due to increased bidding.
"It doesn't fix home affordability. It actually makes home prices go up. And I'll tell you that this one is very important because, okay, if you have lower monthly payments, then what does that mean? It means that more people are going to qualify. And what's that going to mean? you're going to have more people bidding up home prices and then that's going to lead to higher home prices."
Home prices impact of 50-year mortgage
Correct
The speaker believes the 50-year mortgage primarily benefits the real estate industry, not homebuyers.
"from my perspective, I see this as a gift to the real estate industry, not the buyer. And you have to ask yourself, who's really benefiting from a 50-year mortgage?"
Benefit to real estate industry from 50-year mortgage
Correct
Realtors, brokers, builders, banks, and investors (collectively Wall Street) are predicted to benefit from the 50-year mortgage.
"Well, I've created a list. I mean, it's going to be realtors because, you know, realtors and brokers because they're going to receive higher commissions. And then you have the builders. They're going to sell more homes. And then, of course, the banks because they're going to be making much more in interest income, you know, on these mortgages at the expense of the borrower. And then also the investors because there's now going to be more demand. So who's going to win? It's going to be basically it's going to be Wall Street."
Beneficiaries of 50-year mortgage
Pending
Japan's experience with extending mortgage terms, including 50, 70, and 100-year mortgages, led to intergenerational debt and did not resolve housing affordability issues.
"Japan has tried this and it did not go well. So, Japan went through a housing crisis in the 1980s and 1990s. prices exploded and young people couldn't buy homes. Like, does that sound familiar to you? Like, of course it does. That's our situation right now. So, banks did the same thing. They did 50-year mortgages and then it turned into 70-year mortgages and then 100year mortgages. So, people literally passed their mortgage down to their children, the next generation."
Japan's experience with long-term mortgages
Correct
On a $450,000 loan at 6.75% interest over 50 years, the total interest paid is projected to exceed $1.1 million.
"With a 50-year mortgage, look at that number. Over a million. 1,114,33 in interest."
Total interest paid on 50-year mortgage
Correct
Significant legal and regulatory changes, including Congressional involvement and rule revisions by FHFA, are necessary for 50-year mortgages to become viable, as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac currently do not purchase loans longer than 30 years.
"Fanny May and Freddy Mack generally do not buy loans longer than 30 years. So, if you want a 50-year mortgage to exist, then major laws and regulations must change. So, that would be a huge undertaking. Like, Congress would have to get involved. FHFA, they would have to rewrite rules and mortgage back securities would have to be redesigned, basically."
Legal hurdles for 50-year mortgages
Correct