ilmscore | Prediction Details
"the UN is even more optimistic as it lives. China's population will only shrink by 8% up to 2050."
By Money & Macro | October 31, 2023 | Correct
From video
Economist Fact-Checks Zeihan's China Collapse Story 00:06:41 - 00:06:49
Interpreted Prediction
The UN predicted that China's population will shrink by 8% by 2050.
AI Evaluation Notes
The UN's projections indicate that China's population will decrease from its peak of 1.426 billion in 2022 to 1.313 billion by 2050. This represents an approximate shrinkage of 7.92%, which is extremely close to the predicted 8%.

Prediction Details

Topic
China's population
Target
will shrink by 8%
Predicted date
2024-01-31

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