ilmscore | Prediction Details
By Money & Macro | October 31, 2023 | Correct
Interpreted Prediction
The speaker agreed with Peter Zeihan that China's increased authoritarianism will prevent it from adequately responding to future crises.
AI Evaluation Notes
By the target date of January 31, 2024, China continued to face significant challenges, particularly economic headwinds and ongoing human rights crises. Increased authoritarianism demonstrably prevented an adequate response to human rights concerns, as highlighted by reports of abusive policies against ethnic minorities. In the economic sphere, while the government implemented measures and met its 2023 GDP growth target, the economy still contended with deep-seated structural issues, and some analyses directly linked Xi Jinping's authoritarian approach to these economic struggles, suggesting that the responses were not fully adequate in addressing root causes.

Prediction Details

Target
Increased authoritarianism will prevent China from adequately responding to crises
Predicted date
future / as crises arise

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