ilmscore | Prediction Details
"when you take a look throughout the world there are plenty of developed countries that have lost money over a long period of time and that of course leads us to wonder what are the chances of that happening here well according to the market sentiment blog since 1890 once you add inflation into the mix there's only a 1.2% chance of losing buying power over a 30-year Horizon although this doesn't really take into consideration that we only have 130 years worth of data to pick from and the United States could be suffering from survivorship bias where we only look at it because so far it's worked that's why when we zoom out to a global market according to this research there is a 9% chance that a Japan likee event could happen here in the United States at some point in the future"
By Graham Stephan | November 1, 2023 | Pending
From video
BREAKING: The FED Pauses Rates, Housing Declines, Recession Cancelled 00:06:00 - 00:06:43
Interpreted Prediction
There is a 9% chance of a 'Japan-like' economic event (prolonged stock market stagnation or decline) occurring in the United States, considering global historical data and potential survivorship bias in US data.

Prediction Details

Topic
US Stock Market Bubble Risk

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