ilmscore | Prediction Details
"if the unemployment rates 3month moving average rises half a percentage point from its previous year a recession is either imminent or already underway"
By Graham Stephan | August 6, 2024 | Pending
From video
It Started: Japan Just Broke The US Stock Market 00:07:06 - 00:07:12
Interpreted Prediction
A 0.5 percentage point rise in the 3-month moving average of the unemployment rate from the previous year signals an imminent or ongoing recession.

Prediction Details

Topic
US Recession Indicator

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