ilmscore | Prediction Details
"During the last 11 recessions, it was found that stocks have tended to peak 8 months prior to a recession and declined by approximately 30% on average."
By Graham Stephan | April 2, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
The 25% ‘Trump Recession’ Has Started - What You Must Know 00:04:28 - 00:04:37
Interpreted Prediction
Stocks typically peak 8 months before a recession and decline by about 30% on average.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that stocks typically peak 8 months before a recession and decline by about 30% on average. A recession did not occur 8 months after April 2, 2025, and the SPX closed at 3710.18 on December 2, 2025, which is significantly higher than a 30% decline from its peak before April 2025.

Prediction Details

Ticker
SPX

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