ilmscore | Prediction Details
"From 1869 to 2018, there have been a total of 16 recessions that had positive stock market returns. And of those positive returns, the market went up by an average of 9.8% during a time the GDP declined by 3%. Or in other words, out of 30 recessions from start to finish, they had zero correlation whatsoever with lower stock market values. And even when you account for the COVID crash, the market still went up by 1.7% on average, implying that stocks were consistently a good investment, but with a bit of a twist."
By Graham Stephan | April 2, 2025 | Pending
From video
The 25% ‘Trump Recession’ Has Started - What You Must Know 00:05:03 - 00:05:33
Interpreted Prediction
Historically, the stock market has shown positive returns during recessions, with an average gain of 9.8% when GDP declined by 3%. Even accounting for the COVID crash, the market was up 1.7% on average.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction discusses historical stock market behavior during recessions and does not provide a specific future price target or event to evaluate for a particular timeframe. Therefore, it cannot be rated for accuracy.

Prediction Details

Ticker
SPX

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