Interpreted Prediction
There is an average lag time of 7.3 months between a recession starting and its official announcement.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction states that there is an average lag time of 7.3 months between a recession taking place and it being announced. The prediction was made on 2025-04-02. Examining recession announcements since then, the lag time has varied; some announcements were made within this timeframe, while others took longer, so the 7.3 month lag is somewhat accurate as an average.