ilmscore | Prediction Details
"UBS says that as of right now six out of seven conditions are currently met for a stock market bubble. This includes stocks outperforming bonds over a 10-year period by at least 5%, earnings growth is slowing down, lack of diversification within the S&P 500, 25 years since the last bubble, this time is different, retail participation and finally the only one we don't have loose monetary policy which according to them means that we have a 35% probability of currently being in a bubble"
By Graham Stephan | February 3, 2025 | Pending
From video
It Started: How To Get Rich In The 2025 Market Reversal 00:07:42 - 00:10:10
Interpreted Prediction
UBS identifies six out of seven conditions met for a stock market bubble, indicating a 35% probability of a current bubble. These conditions include prolonged stock outperformance, slowing earnings growth, lack of diversification, time since the last bubble, 'this time is different' sentiment, and high retail participation, with loose monetary policy being the only missing factor.

Prediction Details

Topic
Stock Market Bubble

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