From video
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that the US government will manufacture a crisis to refinance its national debt, resulting in high inflation and an acceleration of 'the great melt up'.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction that the US government would 'manufacture a crisis' to refinance its national debt has not materialized; while debt refinancing is a challenge, no such crisis was intentionally created. Inflation rates in 2025 were moderate, not 'highly inflationary' as predicted, with annual inflation around 3% and forecasts lower. However, the US stock market did experience significant gains in 2024 and 2025, with some market commentary referring to conditions consistent with a 'great melt up'.
Prediction Details
Topic
Target
US government will manufacture a crisis to refinance national debt, leading to high inflation and accelerating 'the great melt up'
Predicted
date
Upcoming