ilmscore | Prediction Details
"they're most likely going to do they're going to manufacture a crisis so that the Federal Reserve will have an excuse to cut interest rates back down to close to 0% and then they're going to take advantage of the opportunity to refinance as much debt as possible at those lower interest rates"
By ClearValue Tax | October 21, 2024 | Incorrect
From video
The Great Melt-Up: US Government will Manufacture a Crisis to Refinance National Debt 00:03:57 - 00:04:15
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates to near 0% following a manufactured crisis, enabling the US government to refinance its debt at lower rates.
AI Evaluation Notes
The Federal Reserve has indeed cut interest rates since the prediction was made, but not to 'near 0%'. As of December 2025, the federal funds rate is around 3.75% to 4.00%, with expectations of a slight further cut, which is significantly higher than near 0%. There is no evidence of a 'manufactured crisis' that led to rates being cut to near zero.

Prediction Details

Topic
US Monetary Policy
Target
Federal Reserve will cut interest rates back down to close to 0% after a manufactured crisis
Predicted date
After an upcoming manufactured crisis

Comments

0 comments

Be the first to share your thoughts.

Like this prediction?

Join to make your opinion count.