From video
Interpreted Prediction
Predicted that US Treasuries will decline further as a reserve asset following government actions (suspending debt ceiling, borrowing heavily, issuing 50-year bonds) in the next crisis.
AI Evaluation Notes
Following government actions that included the reinstatement of the debt ceiling in January 2025 after a suspension, and significant borrowing by the US government in Fiscal Year 2025, the US dollar's share of global currency reserves declined. Reports indicate a 'notable pullback' for US Treasuries as a reserve asset and a 9% decline in the dollar's value in 2025, aligning with the prediction that US Treasuries would fall further as a reserve asset.
Prediction Details
Ticker
Target
US Treasuries will fall even further as a reserve asset
Predicted
date
After government actions in the next crisis