ilmscore | Prediction Details
"every year since 2015, the SCP has forecast that you would hit your target two years later. And this year, uh, this SCP says you're going to hit your target two years later. Uh, 2% does not seem to be in sight. Does that suggest that the 2% target is not really achievable? And does this present any credibility problems for you in telling people that that's what you're going to do if you can never reach it?"
By ClearValue Tax | October 24, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
CPI Inflation Report: Fed Cutting Rates, Money Printing Next! 00:08:53.040 - 00:09:18.880
Interpreted Prediction
The Federal Reserve's repeated failure to meet its 2% inflation target within projected two-year timeframes raises questions about its credibility.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction suggested that the Federal Reserve would not meet its 2% inflation target by 2025 (two years after the statement was made in 2023). Recent data indicates that while inflation has fluctuated, it has not consistently remained above 2%, suggesting the prediction was mostly wrong.

Prediction Details

Topic
Federal Reserve Credibility

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