ilmscore | Prediction Details
By ClearValue Tax | November 11, 2025 | Incorrect
Interpreted Prediction
Ernst & Young estimates that the government shutdown will reduce Q4 GDP by 0.8%, equating to approximately $55 billion in lost output.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated a 0.8% reduction in Q4 GDP due to a government shutdown. While a shutdown did occur, the actual impact on Q4 GDP was less severe than predicted, with most estimates suggesting a reduction closer to 0.2-0.3%.

Prediction Details

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