ilmscore | Prediction Details
"Before the release of this jobs report, there was a 24.4% chance that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates at that January meeting. Now, after the release of the jobs report, the odds did not change. They stayed exactly the same... as of now, the odds still stand at a 24.4% chance of rate cuts at the January meeting."
By ClearValue Tax | December 16, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
The Jobs Report Shows a Labor Market in Big Trouble 00:07:41 - 00:08:18
Interpreted Prediction
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at the January 2026 meeting remained at 24.4% both before and after the release of the latest jobs report.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction was that there was a 24.4% chance of a rate cut at the January 2026 meeting. According to recent news, the Federal Reserve held rates steady at the January 2026 meeting, so the predicted rate cut did not occur.

Prediction Details

Topic
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Cut Odds (January)

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