ilmscore | Prediction Details
"The official jobs report by the government was supposed to be released on Friday, October 3rd. However, because the politicians could not agree on a government funding bill on time, the federal government has shut down. And consequently, the Bureau of Labor Statistics did not release the reports. Therefore, people have been relying on the ADP jobs reports, which at least gives us insights into the labor market situation in the private sector. And for the month of September, the ADP report shows that the private sector lost 32,000 jobs. This was the biggest decline in 2 and 1/2 years."
By ClearValue Tax | October 6, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Jobs Report — Biggest Job Loss in Years, Fed Forced to Cut Rates 00:00:00.400 - 00:00:41.440
Interpreted Prediction
The government shutdown and the resulting delay in the official jobs report, coupled with negative ADP jobs report data for September (loss of 32,000 jobs), is forcing the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the Federal Reserve would continue cutting interest rates due to a weak jobs report. However, the Federal Reserve increased interest rates throughout 2025 to combat inflation.

Prediction Details

Topic
Federal Reserve Interest Rates

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