ilmscore | Prediction Details
"The official jobs report by the government was supposed to be released on Friday, October 3rd. However, because the politicians could not agree on a government funding bill on time, the federal government has shut down. And consequently, the Bureau of Labor Statistics did not release the reports. Therefore, people have been relying on the ADP jobs reports, which at least gives us insights into the labor market situation in the private sector. And for the month of September, the ADP report shows that the private sector lost 32,000 jobs. This was the biggest decline in 2 and 1/2 years."
By ClearValue Tax | October 6, 2025 | Incorrect
From video
Jobs Report — Biggest Job Loss in Years, Fed Forced to Cut Rates 00:00:02.800 - 00:03:00.480
Interpreted Prediction
Due to significant job losses in the private sector (32,000 in September, the largest decline in 2.5 years) and the government shutdown impacting official reports, the Federal Reserve is expected to continue cutting interest rates. They cut rates in September and are highly likely to cut again in October and December.
AI Evaluation Notes
The prediction stated that the Federal Reserve would likely cut interest rates in October and December of 2025 due to job losses and a government shutdown. However, based on available data, the Federal Reserve actually raised interest rates in both October and December of 2025.

Prediction Details

Topic
Federal Reserve Interest Rates

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