ilmscore | Prediction Details
"As you can see, those days are long gone and the situation is getting worse. But now look at how the situation has changed. There's now less than one job opening for every unemployed worker. It's clearly an employer's market and the situation is worse than right before the pandemic. Now, I want to help you understand and interpret the situation better. 1 to 1.5 is considered a normal and balanced labor market. For the past 25 years, we've actually been below that range for a while because I mean, think about what happened. We had the.com bubble that burst and then the labor market was recovering and then bam, the GFC happened with the housing market crash and then we're recovering from that and getting back up there to normal and then the pandemic happened. So one to 1.5 is considered normal. Above 1.5 is considered a tight labor market where it's hard to get workers. And then when you're below one that's considered to have a lot of slack and a recessionary environment. And as you can see, we are now below one. And take a look at the chart. We are trending downward."
By ClearValue Tax | October 6, 2025 | Correct
From video
Jobs Report — Biggest Job Loss in Years, Fed Forced to Cut Rates 00:06:59.280 - 00:08:05.440
Interpreted Prediction
The labor market has significantly worsened, with fewer than one job opening for every unemployed worker, indicating an employer's market. This is worse than pre-pandemic conditions and below the normal range of 1-1.5 openings per unemployed worker, suggesting a recessionary environment.
AI Evaluation Notes
Recent data indicates there are fewer than one job opening per unemployed worker. The labor market has indeed worsened, validating the prediction.

Prediction Details

Topic
Job Market Conditions

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